stv.vote // Minneapolis, MN Park & Recreation Commissioner At Large

The Minneapolis, MN November 2025 was held on November 4, 2025. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 9 candidates over 8 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (28,338 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Meg Forney
  2. Tom Olsen
  3. Amber A. Frederick

Votes needed to win: 28,338 votes ⌊113,3483+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{113,348}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 28,338Meg ForneyElected in round 5Amber A. FrederickElected in round 8 (final)Tom OlsenElected in round 8Michael WilsonEliminated in round 7Mary McKelveyEliminated in round 6Matthew DowgwilloEliminated in round 4Adam SchneiderEliminated in round 3Averi M. TurnerEliminated in round 2Undeclared write-insEliminated in round 1

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Meg ForneyTom OlsenAmber A. FrederickMichael WilsonMary McKelveyMatthew DowgwilloAdam SchneiderAveri M. TurnerUndeclared write-insExhausted22.4%20.1%15%13.5%10.7%6.3%6.2%22.4%20.1%15.1%13.5%10.7%6.3%6.2%23.2%20.4%16.2%14%11.4%6.6%6.6%23.8%21.7%17%15.8%11.9%7%25.2%22.4%18%16.4%13.1%25%22.4%18%16.4%13.2%25%23.9%20.4%17.5%13.1%25%30.6%23.9%20.5%Meg ForneyTom OlsenAmber A. FrederickExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

SchneiderFrederickTurnerMcKelveyDowgwilloForneyWilsonOlsenLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Tom Olsen
Meg Forney
Amber A. Frederick
Michael Wilson
Mary McKelvey
Matthew Dowgwillo
Adam Schneider
Averi M. Turner
Undeclared write-ins
Tom Olsen0%52.5%55.3%60.8%61.9%76.1%74.9%73.3%98.7%
Meg Forney47.5%0%48.9%49.7%63.3%76.4%70.3%75.2%98.5%
Amber A. Frederick44.7%51.1%0%49%61.6%74.8%72%73.5%98.5%
Michael Wilson39.2%50.3%51%0%58.5%73%74.9%71.8%98.5%
Mary McKelvey38.1%36.7%38.4%41.5%0%67.7%62%65.2%97.9%
Matthew Dowgwillo23.9%23.6%25.2%27%32.3%0%45.9%47.1%96.2%
Adam Schneider25.1%29.7%28%25.1%38%54.1%0%51.7%96.6%
Averi M. Turner26.7%24.8%26.5%28.2%34.8%52.9%48.3%0%96.5%
Undeclared write-ins1.3%1.5%1.5%1.5%2.1%3.8%3.4%3.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Tom Olsen
Meg Forney
Amber A. Frederick
Michael Wilson
Mary McKelvey
Matthew Dowgwillo
Adam Schneider
Averi M. Turner
Undeclared write-ins
Exhausted
Tom Olsen0%8.3%14%46.6%4.4%3.1%5.6%2.4%0.1%15.4%
Meg Forney12.2%0%10.1%3.5%23.4%6.3%3.1%8%0.2%33.4%
Amber A. Frederick34.9%10.3%0%14.9%10.1%4.3%4.6%6.5%0.1%14.3%
Michael Wilson30.4%4.4%16.6%0%3.3%2.5%18.2%8%0.2%16.4%
Mary McKelvey7.1%32.2%10.6%5.3%0%6.7%3.4%6.5%0.1%28%
Matthew Dowgwillo8.8%19.8%11.8%6.9%16.3%0%3.8%5.9%0.4%26.5%
Adam Schneider18.2%6.9%11%25.2%7%4.2%0%8%0.1%19.4%
Averi M. Turner6%15.7%20.9%8.8%12.9%6.6%6.7%0%0.2%22.1%
Undeclared write-ins2.2%2.9%0.7%1.2%1%1.5%0.2%1.2%0%89%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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