stv.vote // West Lothian, Scotland Fauldhouse and the Breich Valley

The West Lothian, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,269 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Pauline Clark
  2. Cathy Muldoon
  3. Craig Meek

Votes needed to win: 1,269 votes 5,0723+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,072}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,269Pauline ClarkElected in round 1Cathy MuldoonElected in round 6Craig MeekElected in round 7Greg McCarraEliminated in final roundElaine FairbairnEliminated in round 5Neil BarnesEliminated in round 4Gillian PattleEliminated in round 3Hani MohamedEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Pauline ClarkCathy MuldoonCraig MeekElaine FairbairnGreg McCarraNeil BarnesGillian PattleHani MohamedExhausted25.5%21.9%18.2%14.2%12.9%25%22.1%18.2%14.2%13.1%25%22.3%18.3%14.2%13.5%25%23%18.7%14.6%13.7%25%23.9%19.2%14.9%15.2%25%27.1%24%15.6%8.3%25%25%25.9%15.8%8.3%Pauline ClarkCathy MuldoonCraig MeekGreg McCarraExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BarnesClarkFairbairnMcCarraMeekMohamedMuldoonPattleLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Cathy Muldoon
Craig Meek
Pauline Clark
Greg McCarra
Elaine Fairbairn
Neil Barnes
Gillian Pattle
Hani Mohamed
Cathy Muldoon0%52.7%53.4%55.3%75.5%71.9%83.4%86.6%
Craig Meek47.3%0%52.5%54.6%74.8%70.9%81.8%86.4%
Pauline Clark46.6%47.5%0%64.8%67.2%79%71.7%90.6%
Greg McCarra44.7%45.4%35.2%0%65.7%76.1%70.2%89.6%
Elaine Fairbairn24.5%25.2%32.8%34.3%0%45.7%51.8%65.4%
Neil Barnes28.1%29.1%21%23.9%54.3%0%57.2%77.1%
Gillian Pattle16.6%18.2%28.3%29.8%48.2%42.8%0%68.9%
Hani Mohamed13.4%13.6%9.4%10.4%34.6%22.9%31.1%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Cathy Muldoon
Craig Meek
Pauline Clark
Greg McCarra
Elaine Fairbairn
Neil Barnes
Gillian Pattle
Hani Mohamed
Exhausted
Cathy Muldoon0%80.7%3.6%2%2.9%1.7%2.4%0.3%6.5%
Craig Meek80.5%0%2.3%3.7%3.9%1.4%1.5%0.6%6.1%
Pauline Clark3.9%2.6%0%81.4%0.8%5.3%0.5%1.1%4.3%
Greg McCarra3.5%3.4%84.2%0%0.3%4%0.3%1.5%2.8%
Elaine Fairbairn16.9%27.3%1.3%1.9%0%2.4%18.1%1.1%31.1%
Neil Barnes10.8%7%38.9%8.1%2.7%0%18.4%2.7%11.4%
Gillian Pattle28%11%3.4%4.2%16.1%15.3%0%2.5%19.5%
Hani Mohamed10%5.7%24.3%18.6%1.4%12.9%11.4%0%15.7%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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