stv.vote // West Dunbartonshire, Scotland Dumbarton

The West Dunbartonshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 9 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,305 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Karen Conaghan
  2. David McBride
  3. Gurpreet Singh Johal
  4. Chris Pollock

Votes needed to win: 1,305 votes 6,5244+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{6,524}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,305Karen ConaghanElected in round 1David McBrideElected in round 1Gurpreet Singh JohalElected in round 2Chris PollockElected in round 8 (final)Brian WalkerEliminated in round 7Lynda McEwanEliminated in round 6Andrew Joseph MuirEliminated in round 5Jonathan RaineyEliminated in round 4Kelly WilsonEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Karen ConaghanDavid McBrideGurpreet Singh JohalBrian WalkerChris PollockAndrew Joseph MuirLynda McEwanJonathan RaineyKelly WilsonExhausted33.3%31.3%14.3%9.2%8.1%20%20%27.9%9.3%16.2%20%20%20%11.3%16.6%5.8%20%20%20%11.3%16.6%6%20%20%20%11.5%16.8%6.4%20%20%20%11.9%17.1%7.9%20%20%20%12%17.9%10.1%Karen ConaghanDavid McBrideGurpreet Singh JohalBrian WalkerChris PollockExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

ConaghanJohalMcBrideMcEwanMuirPollockRaineyWalkerWilsonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Karen Conaghan
David McBride
Gurpreet Singh Johal
Chris Pollock
Brian Walker
Lynda McEwan
Andrew Joseph Muir
Jonathan Rainey
Kelly Wilson
Karen Conaghan0%45.5%49.6%78.3%72.3%85.1%86.4%89.1%92.3%
David McBride54.5%0%64.4%59.1%84.5%89.6%91.7%93%93.7%
Gurpreet Singh Johal50.4%35.6%0%55.1%80.6%86.9%89.3%91.3%92.6%
Chris Pollock21.7%40.9%44.9%0%69.4%81.9%83.6%87.2%91.2%
Brian Walker27.7%15.5%19.4%30.6%0%57.4%65.5%68.7%75.6%
Lynda McEwan14.9%10.4%13.1%18.1%42.6%0%61.5%67.1%72.9%
Andrew Joseph Muir13.6%8.3%10.7%16.4%34.5%38.5%0%56.2%63.6%
Jonathan Rainey10.9%7%8.7%12.8%31.3%32.9%43.8%0%62.5%
Kelly Wilson7.7%6.3%7.4%8.8%24.4%27.1%36.4%37.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Karen Conaghan
David McBride
Gurpreet Singh Johal
Chris Pollock
Brian Walker
Lynda McEwan
Andrew Joseph Muir
Jonathan Rainey
Kelly Wilson
Exhausted
Karen Conaghan0%6.6%4.9%80.3%0%1.5%0.8%0.5%0.1%5.3%
David McBride4.7%0%74%1.5%5.2%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%11%
Gurpreet Singh Johal4.3%84.9%0%0.8%2%0.8%0.5%0.4%0%6.2%
Chris Pollock83.9%4.7%3.2%0%0.4%1.3%0.4%0.6%0.4%5.1%
Brian Walker1.7%38.1%13%0.7%0%2.3%5.5%4.5%3.2%31.1%
Lynda McEwan24.7%12.3%15.1%9.6%2.7%0%2.7%9.6%4.1%19.2%
Andrew Joseph Muir13%17%6%3%10%4%0%11%11%25%
Jonathan Rainey8.9%24.4%6.7%8.9%13.3%4.4%13.3%0%4.4%15.6%
Kelly Wilson3.3%0%3.3%10%10%13.3%13.3%20%0%26.7%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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