stv.vote // Stirling, Scotland Forth and Endrick

The Stirling, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,506 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Rosemary Fraser
  2. Paul Henke
  3. Gerry McGarvey

Votes needed to win: 1,506 votes 6,0233+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{6,023}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,506Rosemary FraserElected in round 4Paul HenkeElected in round 7Gerry McGarveyElected in round 7 (final)Thomas HealdEliminated in round 6Paul GoodwinEliminated in round 5Rob DaviesEliminated in round 3James MaclarenEliminated in round 2Liam McKechnieEliminated in round 1

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Rosemary FraserPaul HenkeThomas HealdGerry McGarveyPaul GoodwinRob DaviesJames MaclarenLiam McKechnieExhausted24.1%18.8%17.3%14%11.1%7.8%5.7%24.1%18.9%17.4%14.2%11.2%8.1%5.9%24.6%19.6%17.8%16.5%11.4%9.1%26.1%21.1%19.1%18.9%11.9%25%21.1%19.1%18.9%12.9%25%21.5%19.7%23.8%10.1%Rosemary FraserPaul HenkeThomas HealdGerry McGarveyExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

DaviesFraserGoodwinHealdHenkeMaclarenMcGarveyMcKechnieLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Paul Henke
Rosemary Fraser
Gerry McGarvey
Thomas Heald
Paul Goodwin
Rob Davies
James Maclaren
Liam McKechnie
Paul Henke0%50.1%52.6%51.5%51%63.9%56.5%85.5%
Rosemary Fraser49.9%0%54.9%51.2%68%63.3%56.9%82.2%
Gerry McGarvey47.4%45.1%0%48.9%46.5%62.8%54.5%86.2%
Thomas Heald48.5%48.8%51.1%0%49.4%62.4%54.9%84.4%
Paul Goodwin49%32%53.5%50.6%0%62.3%55.8%81.6%
Rob Davies36.1%36.7%37.2%37.6%37.7%0%39%77.5%
James Maclaren43.5%43.1%45.5%45.1%44.2%61%0%85.7%
Liam McKechnie14.5%17.8%13.8%15.6%18.4%22.5%14.3%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Paul Henke
Rosemary Fraser
Gerry McGarvey
Thomas Heald
Paul Goodwin
Rob Davies
James Maclaren
Liam McKechnie
Exhausted
Paul Henke0%0.8%3.4%83.2%1.1%2.4%2.9%1%5.3%
Rosemary Fraser0.3%0%3.9%0.4%90.2%1.2%1.8%0.3%1.9%
Gerry McGarvey6.9%15.2%0%3.4%5.9%9.2%39.7%3.5%16.1%
Thomas Heald90.2%0.4%2.3%0%0.3%1.5%1.9%0.3%3.1%
Paul Goodwin0.9%87.6%3.4%1.2%0%2.4%1.8%0.3%2.4%
Rob Davies14.7%15%16.9%13.9%5.3%0%20.1%2.8%11.3%
James Maclaren11.6%8.1%38.6%6.7%4.3%15.4%0%2.3%13%
Liam McKechnie14.5%4.3%15.9%7.2%1.4%30.4%14.5%0%11.6%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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