stv.vote // South Ayrshire, Scotland Troon

The South Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,396 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Craig Mackay
  2. Philip Saxton
  3. Bob Pollock
  4. Kenneth Bell

Votes needed to win: 1,396 votes 6,9794+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{6,979}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,396Craig MackayElected in round 1Philip SaxtonElected in round 3Bob PollockElected in round 6Kenneth BellElected in round 8Annie McINDOEEliminated in round 7Rose HallEliminated in round 5Judith GoddenEliminated in round 4Linda LunanEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Craig MackayPhilip SaxtonBob PollockKenneth BellAnnie McINDOERose HallJudith GoddenLinda LunanExhausted23%19.2%16.2%14.5%12.9%6.6%20%19.7%16.4%14.6%14.3%6.6%20%20.5%16.6%14.8%14.9%6.7%5.5%20%20%16.6%14.9%15%6.7%5.5%20%20%17.5%15.5%16%7.2%20%20%21.2%18.4%16.1%20%20%20%19.5%16.1%Craig MackayPhilip SaxtonBob PollockKenneth BellAnnie McINDOEExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BellGoddenHallLunanMackayMcINDOEPollockSaxtonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Craig Mackay
Kenneth Bell
Bob Pollock
Philip Saxton
Annie McINDOE
Rose Hall
Judith Godden
Linda Lunan
Craig Mackay0%51.4%50.6%53.6%64.7%53.4%65.7%72.8%
Kenneth Bell48.6%0%45.1%47.5%50.4%62%61.7%67.5%
Bob Pollock49.4%54.9%0%48.9%51.1%58.4%62.2%68.5%
Philip Saxton46.4%52.5%51.1%0%49.1%54.9%69.9%75.5%
Annie McINDOE35.3%49.6%48.9%50.9%0%51.7%63.7%70.8%
Rose Hall46.6%38%41.6%45.1%48.3%0%57.8%65.3%
Judith Godden34.3%38.3%37.8%30.1%36.3%42.2%0%61.8%
Linda Lunan27.2%32.5%31.5%24.5%29.2%34.7%38.2%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Craig Mackay
Kenneth Bell
Bob Pollock
Philip Saxton
Annie McINDOE
Rose Hall
Judith Godden
Linda Lunan
Exhausted
Craig Mackay0%0.6%1.5%5.2%86.5%0.3%1.9%1%3%
Kenneth Bell1%0%29.9%2.6%0.2%56.6%5.4%0.9%3.5%
Bob Pollock1.7%44.7%0%7.9%0.4%39.8%2.1%0.8%2.7%
Philip Saxton11.9%4.7%14.9%0%9%2.2%21.3%10.1%25.9%
Annie McINDOE89.9%0.2%0.3%4.1%0%0.2%1.6%1.1%2.6%
Rose Hall0.7%38.1%51.4%3.3%0.4%0%2.6%0.9%2.6%
Judith Godden9.7%7.6%10.6%26.7%5.5%5.5%0%20.4%14%
Linda Lunan14.1%6.6%5.6%22.2%11.6%3.5%19.7%0%16.7%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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