stv.vote // South Ayrshire, Scotland Prestwick

The South Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,329 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Ian Cochrane
  2. Hugh Hunter
  3. Martin Kilbride
  4. Cameron Ramsay

Votes needed to win: 1,329 votes 6,6424+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{6,642}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,329Ian CochraneElected in round 1Hugh HunterElected in round 1Martin KilbrideElected in round 5Cameron RamsayElected in round 7Norrie SmithEliminated in round 6Derek Daniel StillieEliminated in round 4Owen Daniel NorthEliminated in round 3John CaddisEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Ian CochraneHugh HunterMartin KilbrideCameron RamsayNorrie SmithDerek Daniel StillieJohn CaddisOwen Daniel NorthExhausted25.5%23.2%17%15.4%9.2%7.3%20%20%18.2%15.9%14.5%8.4%20%20%18.3%16.1%15.1%8.4%20%20%19%16.3%15.1%8.8%20%20%27%16.5%15.1%20%20%20%18.4%15.2%6.3%Ian CochraneHugh HunterMartin KilbrideCameron RamsayNorrie SmithExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

CaddisCochraneHunterKilbrideNorthRamsaySmithStillieLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Martin Kilbride
Ian Cochrane
Cameron Ramsay
Hugh Hunter
Norrie Smith
Derek Daniel Stillie
Owen Daniel North
John Caddis
Martin Kilbride0%46.9%49.7%39.1%48.5%70.2%85.6%75.5%
Ian Cochrane53.1%0%58.8%49.7%69.8%56.6%57.3%89.5%
Cameron Ramsay50.3%41.2%0%41.8%44%54.6%54.4%80.1%
Hugh Hunter60.9%50.3%58.2%0%53%64.5%65.7%83.3%
Norrie Smith51.5%30.2%56%47%0%55.1%55.7%88.4%
Derek Daniel Stillie29.8%43.4%45.4%35.5%44.9%0%47.9%72.9%
Owen Daniel North14.4%42.7%45.6%34.3%44.3%52.1%0%72%
John Caddis24.5%10.5%19.9%16.7%11.6%27.1%28%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Martin Kilbride
Ian Cochrane
Cameron Ramsay
Hugh Hunter
Norrie Smith
Derek Daniel Stillie
Owen Daniel North
John Caddis
Exhausted
Martin Kilbride0%0.5%2.5%7.2%0.4%26.9%57.8%0%4.7%
Ian Cochrane0.7%0%3.7%5.7%83%0.1%0.3%1.6%5%
Cameron Ramsay8.4%12%0%28.7%9.8%2.5%1.6%2.7%34.2%
Hugh Hunter27.7%10.9%17.2%0%5.1%12.8%3.4%1.9%21%
Norrie Smith0.5%83.6%4.7%4.4%0%0.2%0.5%2.4%3.7%
Derek Daniel Stillie63.3%0.4%1.8%7.6%0.2%0%23%0.6%3.1%
Owen Daniel North52.1%0%5.6%7%2.8%29.6%0%0%2.8%
John Caddis1.3%42.3%2.6%21.8%14.1%2.6%0%0%15.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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