stv.vote // South Ayrshire, Scotland Maybole North Carrick and Coylton

The South Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 6 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,071 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. William James Grant
  2. Iain Campbell
  3. Brian Connolly

Votes needed to win: 1,071 votes ⌊4,2823+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,282}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,071William James GrantElected in round 1Iain CampbellElected in round 4Brian ConnollyElected in round 5Nicola SaxtonEliminated in final roundLaura McEWANEliminated in round 3Stephen RalphEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5William James GrantIain CampbellBrian ConnollyLaura McEWANNicola SaxtonStephen RalphExhausted32%20.9%17.7%14.5%12.4%25%21%22.6%14.7%14.2%25%21.2%23.3%14.9%15.1%25%33.4%23.9%16%25%25%25.3%16.9%7.8%William James GrantIain CampbellBrian ConnollyNicola SaxtonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

CampbellConnollyGrantMcEWANRalphSaxtonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Iain Campbell
William James Grant
Brian Connolly
Nicola Saxton
Laura McEWAN
Stephen Ralph
Iain Campbell0%49.7%48.5%54.4%58.2%64.8%
William James Grant50.3%0%49.8%59.6%52.7%68.2%
Brian Connolly51.5%50.2%0%59.3%55.3%70.8%
Nicola Saxton45.6%40.4%40.7%0%48.3%65.7%
Laura McEWAN41.8%47.3%44.7%51.7%0%62.5%
Stephen Ralph35.2%31.8%29.2%34.3%37.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Iain Campbell
William James Grant
Brian Connolly
Nicola Saxton
Laura McEWAN
Stephen Ralph
Exhausted
Iain Campbell0%3.2%12.1%3%71.5%1.2%8.9%
William James Grant2.9%0%33.9%22.1%2%8.2%30.8%
Brian Connolly20.5%30.4%0%16.7%7.3%7.7%17.5%
Nicola Saxton6.6%13.7%20.9%0%7.1%26.3%25.4%
Laura McEWAN82.2%1.9%3.9%4.5%0%2.1%5.5%
Stephen Ralph8.5%13.2%25.5%29.2%5.7%0%17.9%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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