stv.vote // South Ayrshire, Scotland Ayr North

The South Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (985 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Laura Brennan-Whitefield
  2. Ian Cavana
  3. Mark Dixon
  4. Ian Davis

Votes needed to win: 985 votes 4,9214+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,921}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 985Laura Brennan-WhitefieldElected in round 1Ian CavanaElected in round 1Mark DixonElected in round 2Ian DavisElected in round 6Andrew RussellEliminated in final roundDavid PatersonEliminated in round 5Mason GrahamEliminated in round 4Denise SommervilleEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Laura Brennan-WhitefieldIan CavanaIan DavisMark DixonDavid PatersonAndrew RussellMason GrahamDenise SommervilleExhausted38.9%24.1%13.7%7%6.8%6.3%20%20%14.2%22.4%7.2%7.8%20%20%14.3%20%7.3%8.5%20%20%14.4%20%7.3%9.1%6.1%20%20%14.8%20%7.7%10.1%7.3%20%20%20.9%20%10.5%8.6%Laura Brennan-WhitefieldIan CavanaIan DavisMark DixonAndrew RussellExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

Brennan-WhitefieldCavanaDavisDixonGrahamPatersonRussellSommervilleLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Laura Brennan-Whitefield
Ian Cavana
Mark Dixon
Ian Davis
Andrew Russell
David Paterson
Mason Graham
Denise Sommerville
Laura Brennan-Whitefield0%58.1%79.9%66.8%75%68.9%77.6%90.8%
Ian Cavana41.9%0%46.9%67.4%72.9%69.4%81.3%81.7%
Mark Dixon20.1%53.1%0%64.1%72.4%66.7%75.3%89.1%
Ian Davis33.2%32.6%35.9%0%54.3%65.4%57.4%64.6%
Andrew Russell25%27.1%27.6%45.7%0%48.6%50.7%67.6%
David Paterson31.1%30.6%33.3%34.6%51.4%0%52.2%62.4%
Mason Graham22.4%18.7%24.7%42.6%49.3%47.8%0%64.5%
Denise Sommerville9.2%18.3%10.9%35.4%32.4%37.6%35.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Laura Brennan-Whitefield
Ian Cavana
Mark Dixon
Ian Davis
Andrew Russell
David Paterson
Mason Graham
Denise Sommerville
Exhausted
Laura Brennan-Whitefield0%7.2%82.3%0.9%1.2%0.6%0.6%1.1%6.1%
Ian Cavana17.5%0%5.7%13.3%7%3.3%17.6%1.1%34.4%
Mark Dixon82.8%3.8%0%0.3%1.7%1.2%1.2%1.5%7.6%
Ian Davis2.4%6.4%0.4%0%2.5%78.8%3%0.1%6.4%
Andrew Russell11%19.7%5.5%12.3%0%11.7%10.4%4.9%24.6%
David Paterson0.9%4.5%1.2%83.3%2.4%0%1.2%0.6%6%
Mason Graham2.5%46.3%1.3%6.3%17.5%6.3%0%0%20%
Denise Sommerville30.4%10.1%21.5%1.3%8.9%1.3%3.8%0%22.8%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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