stv.vote // Renfrewshire, Scotland Renfrew North and Braehead

The Renfrewshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,125 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Lisa-Marie Hughes
  2. John Shaw
  3. Jamie McGuire
  4. John Gray

Votes needed to win: 1,125 votes 5,6214+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,621}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,125Lisa-Marie HughesElected in round 1Jamie McGuireElected in round 1John ShawElected in round 1John GrayElected in round 5Sophia Daphne Rose Dowling SparksEliminated in round 4Ross StalkerEliminated in round 3Peter MortonEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Lisa-Marie HughesJohn ShawJamie McGuireJohn GraySophia Daphne Rose Dowling SparksRoss StalkerPeter MortonExhausted24.5%24.4%24.4%16%5.2%20%20%20%16.1%10.3%5.6%6.7%20%20%20%16.2%10.7%6%7%20%20%20%17.3%13.9%8.8%Lisa-Marie HughesJohn ShawJamie McGuireJohn GraySophia Daphne Rose Dowling SparksExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

GrayHughesMcGuireMortonShawSparksStalkerLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
John Shaw
Jamie McGuire
Lisa-Marie Hughes
John Gray
Sophia Daphne Rose Dowling Sparks
Ross Stalker
Peter Morton
John Shaw0%53.6%50.3%66.9%57.7%67.5%85.6%
Jamie McGuire46.4%0%46.2%71.2%72.5%73.6%89.7%
Lisa-Marie Hughes49.7%53.8%0%66.2%57.2%67.2%85.8%
John Gray33.1%28.8%33.8%0%33%47.6%69.9%
Sophia Daphne Rose Dowling Sparks42.3%27.5%42.8%67%0%68.9%87.2%
Ross Stalker32.5%26.4%32.8%52.4%31.1%0%82.2%
Peter Morton14.4%10.3%14.2%30.1%12.8%17.8%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
John Shaw
Jamie McGuire
Lisa-Marie Hughes
John Gray
Sophia Daphne Rose Dowling Sparks
Ross Stalker
Peter Morton
Exhausted
John Shaw0%4.4%85.8%1.9%2.1%1.6%0.4%3.8%
Jamie McGuire4.6%0%3.3%6.7%76.4%3.5%0.7%4.7%
Lisa-Marie Hughes86.3%6.2%0%0.5%1.7%1.7%0.5%3%
John Gray2%36.5%2.1%0%7.4%24.3%3%24.7%
Sophia Daphne Rose Dowling Sparks4.1%67%3.8%5.8%0%8.9%0.3%10%
Ross Stalker6.7%19.4%10.7%17.8%24.9%0%7.5%13%
Peter Morton10.2%15.3%11.9%11.9%8.5%16.9%0%25.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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