stv.vote // Renfrewshire, Scotland Paisley Southeast

The Renfrewshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 9 candidates over 8 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,021 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Eddie Devine
  2. Bruce Macfarlane
  3. Marie McGurk

Votes needed to win: 1,021 votes ⌊4,0803+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,080}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,021Eddie DevineElected in round 5Bruce MacfarlaneElected in round 7Marie McGurkElected in round 9 (final)Jim McIlroyEliminated in round 8Paul MackEliminated in round 6Stuart Alexander McAuslandEliminated in round 4David Richard LaffanEliminated in round 3Allan HeronEliminated in round 2Sandra Amelia WebsterEliminated in round 1

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Bruce MacfarlaneEddie DevineMarie McGurkJim McIlroyPaul MackStuart Alexander McAuslandDavid Richard LaffanAllan HeronSandra Amelia WebsterExhausted21.1%19.6%17%12.2%11.1%9.4%21.1%19.7%17.2%12.2%11.3%9.5%21.3%20.5%17.3%12.9%11.5%10.2%23%21%19%13%12%10.5%23.5%26.8%19.6%14.1%12.9%23.8%25%20%14.4%13.6%25.5%25%21.7%17.2%10.5%25%25%22%17.2%10.8%Bruce MacfarlaneEddie DevineMarie McGurkJim McIlroyExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

DevineHeronLaffanMacfarlaneMackMcAuslandMcGurkMcIlroyWebsterLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Eddie Devine
Bruce Macfarlane
Marie McGurk
Jim McIlroy
Paul Mack
Stuart Alexander McAusland
David Richard Laffan
Allan Heron
Sandra Amelia Webster
Eddie Devine0%45.4%47%69.1%64.4%60.6%59.2%69.7%79.2%
Bruce Macfarlane54.6%0%54.4%67.9%67.3%57.3%73%67.9%84.1%
Marie McGurk53%45.6%0%67.7%66%55.8%70.4%67.6%83.5%
Jim McIlroy30.9%32.1%32.3%0%44.3%32.4%41.3%45.8%60.5%
Paul Mack35.6%32.7%34%55.7%0%38.7%46.2%50.5%68.7%
Stuart Alexander McAusland39.4%42.7%44.2%67.6%61.3%0%56.3%66.4%78.3%
David Richard Laffan40.8%27%29.6%58.7%53.8%43.7%0%56.1%75.2%
Allan Heron30.3%32.1%32.4%54.2%49.5%33.6%43.9%0%67.5%
Sandra Amelia Webster20.8%15.9%16.5%39.5%31.3%21.7%24.8%32.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Eddie Devine
Bruce Macfarlane
Marie McGurk
Jim McIlroy
Paul Mack
Stuart Alexander McAusland
David Richard Laffan
Allan Heron
Sandra Amelia Webster
Exhausted
Eddie Devine0%7.4%4.6%3.9%4.8%55.1%3.1%7.6%0.9%12.6%
Bruce Macfarlane6.1%0%70%0.1%3.2%2.8%10.1%0.9%1%5.7%
Marie McGurk3.2%78.2%0%0.4%2.7%3%5.9%2.5%1.2%2.9%
Jim McIlroy19%1.4%1.4%0%16.7%17.1%1.6%16.5%1.4%24.8%
Paul Mack8.4%7.7%9.3%17.9%0%10.8%8.2%8.6%9.3%19.7%
Stuart Alexander McAusland54.8%4.2%4.4%8.6%5.7%0%2.9%9.4%1.8%8.3%
David Richard Laffan7.7%27.3%30.9%2.1%6.7%4.6%0%9.3%3.6%7.7%
Allan Heron20.1%5.2%3.2%16.2%6.5%16.9%12.3%0%2.6%16.9%
Sandra Amelia Webster11.4%0%15.9%4.5%15.9%9.1%31.8%6.8%0%4.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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