stv.vote // Renfrewshire, Scotland Paisley Northwest

The Renfrewshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 11 candidates over 10 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (956 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Kenny Maclaren
  2. Mags Maclaren
  3. Janis McDonald
  4. Ben Smith

Votes needed to win: 956 votes 4,7794+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,779}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 956Kenny MaclarenElected in round 1Mags MaclarenElected in round 2Janis McDonaldElected in round 7Ben SmithElected in round 11Fraser PaulEliminated in round 10Cara RaeEliminated in round 9John McIntyreEliminated in round 8Mark BaileyEliminated in round 6Rona GrieveEliminated in round 5Samuel Oludare YerokunEliminated in round 4Jim HalfpennyEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9Round 10Kenny MaclarenJanis McDonaldMags MaclarenBen SmithFraser PaulCara RaeMark BaileyJohn McIntyreRona GrieveSamuel Oludare YerokunJim HalfpennyExhausted27.3%17.8%17.8%14.2%9.3%20%18.2%24.3%14.4%9.3%20%18.6%20%14.8%9.3%20%18.9%20%14.8%9.3%20%18.9%20%14.9%9.3%20%19.3%20%15%9.5%20%20%20%15.3%10%6.6%20%20%20%15.4%10%6.6%20%20%20%16.2%10.5%7.2%20%20%20%18.7%10.7%10.5%Kenny MaclarenJanis McDonaldMags MaclarenBen SmithFraser PaulExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BaileyGrieveHalfpennyMaclarenMaclarenMcDonaldMcIntyrePaulRaeSmithYerokunLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Kenny Maclaren
Mags Maclaren
Ben Smith
Janis McDonald
Fraser Paul
Cara Rae
John McIntyre
Mark Bailey
Rona Grieve
Samuel Oludare Yerokun
Jim Halfpenny
Kenny Maclaren0%58.7%57.5%56.6%76.2%80.5%82.6%77.8%88.7%93.3%88.9%
Mags Maclaren41.3%0%56.9%56%76.1%79.1%82%77.4%88.5%93.2%88.5%
Ben Smith42.5%43.1%0%42.2%77.6%61.2%77.9%77.8%87.2%84.5%85.1%
Janis McDonald43.4%44%57.8%0%79.5%63.7%80.6%79.9%88.4%85%86.1%
Fraser Paul23.8%23.9%22.4%20.5%0%35.3%49.4%44.5%63.6%60.3%57.5%
Cara Rae19.5%20.9%38.8%36.3%64.7%0%67.6%62.9%79.3%84.6%80.7%
John McIntyre17.4%18%22.1%19.4%50.6%32.4%0%42.8%66.7%64.7%61%
Mark Bailey22.2%22.6%22.2%20.1%55.5%37.1%57.2%0%72.6%68.5%67.5%
Rona Grieve11.3%11.5%12.8%11.6%36.4%20.7%33.3%27.4%0%46.1%45.8%
Samuel Oludare Yerokun6.7%6.8%15.5%15%39.7%15.4%35.3%31.5%53.9%0%47%
Jim Halfpenny11.1%11.5%14.9%13.9%42.5%19.3%39%32.5%54.2%53%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Kenny Maclaren
Mags Maclaren
Ben Smith
Janis McDonald
Fraser Paul
Cara Rae
John McIntyre
Mark Bailey
Rona Grieve
Samuel Oludare Yerokun
Jim Halfpenny
Exhausted
Kenny Maclaren0%86.1%1.6%2.4%0.1%4.4%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.5%0.2%3.3%
Mags Maclaren86.7%0%1.8%2.4%0.1%4.2%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.6%0.2%2.4%
Ben Smith2.5%2.2%0%78.8%3.8%1.9%1.2%1.9%0.6%0.1%0.6%6.3%
Janis McDonald2.7%3.3%74.3%0%4.9%1.2%2.3%3.2%1.2%0.1%0.7%6.1%
Fraser Paul2%1.6%19.9%14%0%1.8%9.7%16.5%4.5%1.1%1.8%27.1%
Cara Rae15.8%32.5%6.1%9.2%0.9%0%3.5%7.9%3.1%3.1%11%7%
John McIntyre7.6%6.7%6.7%15.1%14.3%5.9%0%7.6%4.2%2.5%2.5%26.9%
Mark Bailey10.9%2.3%10.2%20.3%13.3%11.7%7.8%0%5.5%0.8%3.9%13.3%
Rona Grieve12%6.7%4%9.3%9.3%2.7%16%8%0%2.7%5.3%24%
Samuel Oludare Yerokun18.9%11.3%7.5%5.7%0%5.7%13.2%1.9%11.3%0%11.3%13.2%
Jim Halfpenny13%2.2%0%21.7%0%10.9%21.7%6.5%6.5%4.3%0%13%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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