stv.vote // Renfrewshire, Scotland Paisley East and Central

The Renfrewshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (958 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. John McNaughtan
  2. Carolann Davidson
  3. Will Mylet

Votes needed to win: 958 votes 3,8293+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,829}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 958Carolann DavidsonElected in round 1John McNaughtanElected in round 1Will MyletElected in round 5John CameronEliminated in final roundJonathan SmithEliminated in round 4Athol BondEliminated in round 3Duncan GrantEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5John McNaughtanCarolann DavidsonWill MyletJohn CameronJonathan SmithAthol BondDuncan GrantExhausted32.4%27.2%12.7%10.9%8%7.7%25%25%20.1%11.2%9.7%7.8%25%25%20.3%11.5%9.9%8%25%25%24.6%12.1%11.4%25%25%27.4%14.7%7.9%John McNaughtanCarolann DavidsonWill MyletJohn CameronExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BondCameronDavidsonGrantMcNaughtanMyletSmithLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
John McNaughtan
Will Mylet
Carolann Davidson
John Cameron
Jonathan Smith
Athol Bond
Duncan Grant
John McNaughtan0%72%53.2%73.7%56.8%73.1%85.6%
Will Mylet28%0%51.3%72.7%55.2%70.2%84.6%
Carolann Davidson46.8%48.7%0%80.8%71.3%61.4%90.4%
John Cameron26.3%27.3%19.2%0%21.7%32.1%56.2%
Jonathan Smith43.2%44.8%28.7%78.3%0%58.2%88.7%
Athol Bond26.9%29.8%38.6%67.9%41.8%0%81.9%
Duncan Grant14.4%15.4%9.6%43.8%11.3%18.1%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
John McNaughtan
Will Mylet
Carolann Davidson
John Cameron
Jonathan Smith
Athol Bond
Duncan Grant
Exhausted
John McNaughtan0%84.7%3.9%0.2%1.8%5.4%0.1%3.9%
Will Mylet82.5%0%3.9%0.6%2.9%6.2%0%3.9%
Carolann Davidson6%1.9%0%3.7%77.1%3.8%0.8%6.7%
John Cameron1.7%0.2%37.8%0%14.8%5.7%9.3%30.4%
Jonathan Smith2.6%2.6%81%4.2%0%3.6%0.7%5.2%
Athol Bond41.6%16.4%20.1%4.8%4.1%0%5.1%7.8%
Duncan Grant17.8%0%13.3%24.4%4.4%15.6%0%24.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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