stv.vote // Renfrewshire, Scotland Erskine and Inchinnan

The Renfrewshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 6 candidates over 3 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,190 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Sam Mullin
  2. Iain Nicolson
  3. Michelle Campbell
  4. Alec Leishman

Votes needed to win: 1,190 votes ⌊5,9454+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,945}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,190Michelle CampbellElected in round 1Sam MullinElected in round 1Iain NicolsonElected in round 1Alec LeishmanElected in round 3Alan JelfsEliminated in final roundRobert IrwinEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Sam MullinIain NicolsonMichelle CampbellAlec LeishmanAlan JelfsRobert IrwinExhausted33.6%23.2%20.4%17.7%20%20%20%19.7%7.6%9.5%20%20%20%20.4%8.6%11%Sam MullinIain NicolsonMichelle CampbellAlec LeishmanAlan JelfsExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

CampbellIrwinJelfsLeishmanMullinNicolsonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Sam Mullin
Michelle Campbell
Iain Nicolson
Alec Leishman
Alan Jelfs
Robert Irwin
Sam Mullin0%54.6%54.1%73.8%81.5%88.6%
Michelle Campbell45.4%0%45.3%61.3%62.3%79.1%
Iain Nicolson45.9%54.8%0%62.9%64.1%79.9%
Alec Leishman26.2%38.7%37.1%0%49%67.9%
Alan Jelfs18.5%37.7%35.9%51%0%76.5%
Robert Irwin11.4%20.9%20.1%32.1%23.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Sam Mullin
Michelle Campbell
Iain Nicolson
Alec Leishman
Alan Jelfs
Robert Irwin
Exhausted
Sam Mullin0%7.5%15%20.9%25%5.2%26.4%
Michelle Campbell8.7%0%83.2%0.3%2%1.5%4.3%
Iain Nicolson9.4%83.4%0%0.9%1.3%0.8%4.1%
Alec Leishman42.7%0.7%2.6%0%21.3%7.2%25.5%
Alan Jelfs41.7%7%5.3%24.6%0%7.5%13.9%
Robert Irwin18.8%7.1%2.7%24.1%21.4%0%25.9%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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