stv.vote // North Lanarkshire, Scotland Murdostoun

The North Lanarkshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,138 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Robert John McKendrick
  2. Cameron McManus
  3. Louise Roarty
  4. Nicky Shevlin

Votes needed to win: 1,138 votes 5,6894+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,689}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,138Robert John McKendrickElected in round 1Cameron McManusElected in round 2Louise RoartyElected in round 5Nicky ShevlinElected in round 6Julia StachurskaEliminated in final roundLinsey McKayEliminated in round 4Robert Livingston ArthurEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Robert John McKendrickCameron McManusLouise RoartyNicky ShevlinJulia StachurskaLinsey McKayRobert Livingston ArthurExhausted27.2%19.4%15%13.7%10.3%9.1%5.4%20%20.7%17.3%15.3%10.5%9.8%6.5%20%20%17.3%15.3%11%9.8%6.5%20%20%18.9%16%12%11.1%20%20%22.6%18.1%12.3%7.1%20%20%20%20.2%12.5%7.3%Robert John McKendrickCameron McManusLouise RoartyNicky ShevlinJulia StachurskaExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

ArthurMcKayMcKendrickMcManusRoartyShevlinStachurskaLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Robert John McKendrick
Louise Roarty
Cameron McManus
Nicky Shevlin
Julia Stachurska
Linsey McKay
Robert Livingston Arthur
Robert John McKendrick0%56.1%58.3%55.9%60.5%79.4%78.6%
Louise Roarty43.9%0%51%55%55.2%75.7%64.1%
Cameron McManus41.7%49%0%48.3%64.4%69.3%61.8%
Nicky Shevlin44.1%45%51.7%0%55.8%76.3%65.5%
Julia Stachurska39.5%44.8%35.6%44.2%0%67.2%59.7%
Linsey McKay20.6%24.3%30.7%23.7%32.8%0%35.4%
Robert Livingston Arthur21.4%35.9%38.2%34.5%40.3%64.6%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Robert John McKendrick
Louise Roarty
Cameron McManus
Nicky Shevlin
Julia Stachurska
Linsey McKay
Robert Livingston Arthur
Exhausted
Robert John McKendrick0%14.9%15.1%13.9%5.4%6.5%21.7%22.5%
Louise Roarty10.1%0%4.6%72.6%2%2.6%0.9%7.3%
Cameron McManus5.8%6.2%0%3.2%79.2%0.5%0.5%4.5%
Nicky Shevlin11.3%67%2.7%0%2.7%3.2%1.7%11.4%
Julia Stachurska5.8%1.9%85.1%3.1%0%0.7%0.7%2.7%
Linsey McKay25.3%21.8%1.4%11.8%0.4%0%16.6%22.8%
Robert Livingston Arthur42.6%6.6%11.5%4.9%3%15.1%0%16.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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