stv.vote // North Lanarkshire, Scotland Coatbridge South

The North Lanarkshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (970 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Tracy Carragher
  2. Fergus Macgregor
  3. Andrew Bustard
  4. Geraldine Woods

Votes needed to win: 970 votes 4,8494+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,849}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 970Andrew BustardElected in round 1Tracy CarragherElected in round 1Fergus MacgregorElected in round 1Geraldine WoodsElected in round 5Peter MurrayEliminated in round 4Tony GrimasonEliminated in round 3Graham James KerrEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Tracy CarragherFergus MacgregorAndrew BustardGeraldine WoodsPeter MurrayTony GrimasonGraham James KerrExhausted28.5%24.6%22.7%12.2%6.7%20%20%20%15.3%7.1%11.2%20%20%20%16.2%7.2%12.5%20%20%20%17.9%8%14%Tracy CarragherFergus MacgregorAndrew BustardGeraldine WoodsPeter MurrayExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BustardCarragherGrimasonKerrMacgregorMurrayWoodsLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Fergus Macgregor
Tracy Carragher
Andrew Bustard
Geraldine Woods
Peter Murray
Tony Grimason
Graham James Kerr
Fergus Macgregor0%44.9%56.9%60.3%80.6%80.6%84.8%
Tracy Carragher55.1%0%58.3%61.4%81.6%81.9%86.3%
Andrew Bustard43.1%41.7%0%60.8%85.1%77.8%70.1%
Geraldine Woods39.7%38.6%39.2%0%81.2%76.1%67.3%
Peter Murray19.4%18.4%14.9%18.8%0%36.8%33.3%
Tony Grimason19.4%18.1%22.2%23.9%63.2%0%42.3%
Graham James Kerr15.2%13.7%29.9%32.7%66.7%57.7%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Fergus Macgregor
Tracy Carragher
Andrew Bustard
Geraldine Woods
Peter Murray
Tony Grimason
Graham James Kerr
Exhausted
Fergus Macgregor0%87.7%2.6%2.8%0.3%1.2%2.7%2.8%
Tracy Carragher82.2%0%5.6%2.5%0.5%1.2%3.9%4.2%
Andrew Bustard3.1%9.6%0%67.1%6.5%2.8%2.6%8.3%
Geraldine Woods5.6%3.5%74.7%0%2.7%3.4%2%8.1%
Peter Murray2.4%1.8%27.8%18%0%16.5%3.1%30.3%
Tony Grimason7.4%8.1%19.5%14.8%14.1%0%14.1%22.1%
Graham James Kerr23.8%33.7%12.9%6.9%1%7.9%0%13.9%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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