stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Saltcoats and Stevenston

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 5 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,085 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Jean McClung
  2. Jim Montgomerie
  3. Davina McTiernan
  4. John Sweeney
  5. Cameron Inglis

Votes needed to win: 1,085 votes 6,5065+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{6,506}{5 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,085Jean McClungElected in round 1Jim MontgomerieElected in round 1Davina McTiernanElected in round 2John SweeneyElected in round 2Cameron InglisElected in round 6 (final)Ronnie McNicolEliminated in round 5Jimmy MillerEliminated in round 4David HigginsEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Jean McClungJim MontgomerieJohn SweeneyCameron InglisDavina McTiernanRonnie McNicolDavid HigginsJimmy MillerExhausted29.3%28%12.2%11.4%10.2%5.6%16.7%16.7%18.9%12.1%22.2%7.2%16.7%16.7%16.7%12.4%16.7%9%5.9%16.7%16.7%16.7%12.7%16.7%9.8%7.1%16.7%16.7%16.7%13.1%16.7%11.3%8.9%Jean McClungJim MontgomerieJohn SweeneyCameron InglisDavina McTiernanRonnie McNicolExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

HigginsInglisMcClungMcNicolMcTiernanMillerMontgomerieSweeneyLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Jean McClung
Jim Montgomerie
Davina McTiernan
John Sweeney
Cameron Inglis
Ronnie McNicol
Jimmy Miller
David Higgins
Jean McClung0%46.9%70.5%50.5%69.9%67.6%73.1%86.4%
Jim Montgomerie53.1%0%54.9%71.7%79.8%74.7%80.7%81.4%
Davina McTiernan29.5%45.1%0%49%68.6%65.2%71.9%85.6%
John Sweeney49.5%28.3%51%0%76.6%69.6%77%78.6%
Cameron Inglis30.1%20.2%31.4%23.4%0%40.4%47.1%52%
Ronnie McNicol32.4%25.3%34.8%30.4%59.6%0%64.5%65.3%
Jimmy Miller26.9%19.3%28.1%23%52.9%35.5%0%57.7%
David Higgins13.6%18.6%14.4%21.4%48%34.7%42.3%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Jean McClung
Jim Montgomerie
Davina McTiernan
John Sweeney
Cameron Inglis
Ronnie McNicol
Jimmy Miller
David Higgins
Exhausted
Jean McClung0%3.9%87.9%1.2%0.3%2.8%0.3%1.1%2.6%
Jim Montgomerie4.1%0%2.6%70.9%3.5%6.4%2.6%0.5%9.4%
Davina McTiernan86%3.3%0%3%0.5%1.5%0.3%1.8%3.6%
John Sweeney2.8%76%3.3%0%3.3%3%3.1%0.6%7.9%
Cameron Inglis1.9%31.3%0.9%9.2%0%19.5%5.5%1.6%30.1%
Ronnie McNicol12%19.7%6%7.9%10.4%0%31.4%2.2%10.4%
Jimmy Miller2.1%23.2%3.2%13.7%8.4%31.6%0%5.3%12.6%
David Higgins32.4%9%7.2%8.1%9%18%8.1%0%8.1%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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