stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Kilwinning

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 6 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,111 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Joe Cullinane
  2. Scott Davidson
  3. Donald Reid
  4. John Glover

Votes needed to win: 1,111 votes ⌊5,5534+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,553}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,111Joe CullinaneElected in round 1Scott DavidsonElected in round 1Donald ReidElected in round 2John GloverElected in round 5Sheila GibsonEliminated in round 4Ruby KirkwoodEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Joe CullinaneScott DavidsonJohn GloverDonald ReidSheila GibsonRuby KirkwoodExhausted30.9%22.1%15.6%15.2%12.9%20%20%15.9%23.1%15.3%20%20%17.4%20%15.6%5.3%20%20%19.5%20%16.8%Joe CullinaneScott DavidsonJohn GloverDonald ReidSheila GibsonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

CullinaneDavidsonGibsonGloverKirkwoodReidLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Joe Cullinane
John Glover
Donald Reid
Scott Davidson
Sheila Gibson
Ruby Kirkwood
Joe Cullinane0%76.4%63.1%59.6%61%80.2%
John Glover23.6%0%26.4%38.4%39.5%47%
Donald Reid36.9%73.6%0%57.3%58.7%77%
Scott Davidson40.4%61.6%42.7%0%63.5%62.3%
Sheila Gibson39%60.5%41.3%36.5%0%60.6%
Ruby Kirkwood19.8%53%23%37.7%39.4%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Joe Cullinane
John Glover
Donald Reid
Scott Davidson
Sheila Gibson
Ruby Kirkwood
Exhausted
Joe Cullinane0%5.9%73.7%7%2.9%5.1%5.4%
John Glover22.8%0%18.2%1.7%0.7%25.7%30.8%
Donald Reid75.5%4.2%0%4.5%3.6%5.7%6.5%
Scott Davidson5.2%0.3%2.2%0%87.6%0.7%3.9%
Sheila Gibson3.2%0.6%2.7%90.5%0%1%2.1%
Ruby Kirkwood23.6%17.3%29.3%4.2%6.8%0%18.8%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

card