stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Irvine West

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 10 candidates over 9 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (934 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Shaun Macaulay
  2. Chloe Robertson
  3. Scott Gallacher
  4. Louise McPhater

Votes needed to win: 934 votes 4,6664+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,666}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 934Shaun MacaulayElected in round 1Chloe RobertsonElected in round 2Scott GallacherElected in round 4Louise McPhaterElected in round 10Sylvia MallinsonEliminated in round 9Kevin T BladesEliminated in round 8Bobby CochraneEliminated in round 7Lewis Dominic HuttonEliminated in round 6Tristan LindsayEliminated in round 5Colin TurbettEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9Shaun MacaulayScott GallacherLouise McPhaterSylvia MallinsonChloe RobertsonBobby CochraneKevin T BladesLewis Dominic HuttonTristan LindsayColin TurbettExhausted27.3%20%15.6%14.1%13.4%20%20%15.6%14.1%20.6%20%20%15.8%14.3%20%20%20.1%16%14.3%20%20%20%16.1%14.3%20%20%20%16.1%14.4%20%20%20%16.3%14.8%20%20%20%17.2%16.1%20%20%20%17.7%16.8%20%Shaun MacaulayScott GallacherLouise McPhaterSylvia MallinsonChloe RobertsonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BladesCochraneGallacherHuttonLindsayMacaulayMallinsonMcPhaterRobertsonTurbettLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Louise McPhater
Shaun Macaulay
Chloe Robertson
Scott Gallacher
Sylvia Mallinson
Kevin T Blades
Bobby Cochrane
Lewis Dominic Hutton
Tristan Lindsay
Colin Turbett
Louise McPhater0%47.1%50.4%62.8%46.7%76.4%78.9%79.5%79.5%83.1%
Shaun Macaulay52.9%0%64.5%62%53.4%77.6%77.2%77.5%80.5%85.3%
Chloe Robertson49.6%35.5%0%60.1%50.3%75.7%75.1%75.2%79.4%84.3%
Scott Gallacher37.2%38%39.9%0%37.7%65.1%62.6%67.7%69.3%68.3%
Sylvia Mallinson53.3%46.6%49.7%62.3%0%76.4%79.1%79.6%79.5%82.6%
Kevin T Blades23.6%22.4%24.3%34.9%23.6%0%47.9%50.7%58.2%56.9%
Bobby Cochrane21.1%22.8%24.9%37.4%20.9%52.1%0%51.7%56.8%59.3%
Lewis Dominic Hutton20.5%22.5%24.8%32.3%20.4%49.3%48.3%0%55.6%57.5%
Tristan Lindsay20.5%19.5%20.6%30.7%20.5%41.8%43.2%44.4%0%52%
Colin Turbett16.9%14.7%15.7%31.7%17.4%43.1%40.7%42.5%48%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Louise McPhater
Shaun Macaulay
Chloe Robertson
Scott Gallacher
Sylvia Mallinson
Kevin T Blades
Bobby Cochrane
Lewis Dominic Hutton
Tristan Lindsay
Colin Turbett
Exhausted
Louise McPhater0%2.7%3.3%3.4%75.9%1.4%2.9%0.8%0.4%1.5%7.7%
Shaun Macaulay2.7%0%79.9%0.8%4.3%1%1.6%1%0.7%0.5%7.5%
Chloe Robertson3.5%87.6%0%0.5%1.9%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.5%0.8%3.5%
Scott Gallacher10%1.7%1.1%0%17.8%8.7%5.3%13.1%5.8%2%34.5%
Sylvia Mallinson77.9%3.3%1.4%3.6%0%0.6%3.5%1.7%0.5%0.6%7%
Kevin T Blades3.8%11.3%3%12%3.8%0%6%6.8%32.3%3.8%17.3%
Bobby Cochrane16.7%8.7%0.7%16.7%28.7%6%0%4.7%4%2.7%11.3%
Lewis Dominic Hutton8.3%4.2%0%16.7%19.4%16.7%5.6%0%8.3%5.6%15.3%
Tristan Lindsay2.1%0%0%10.6%4.3%36.2%8.5%4.3%0%4.3%29.8%
Colin Turbett13%15.2%13%6.5%4.3%6.5%23.9%2.2%8.7%0%6.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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