stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Irvine East

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,007 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Marie Burns
  2. Nairn McDonald
  3. Angela Stephen

Votes needed to win: 1,007 votes 4,0253+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,025}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,007Marie BurnsElected in round 1Nairn McDonaldElected in round 1Angela StephenElected in round 6Susan JohnsonEliminated in round 5Ross CollinsEliminated in round 4Barry Keith JacksonEliminated in round 3Karin CraigEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Marie BurnsNairn McDonaldAngela StephenSusan JohnsonRoss CollinsBarry Keith JacksonKarin CraigExhausted36.5%27.2%19.8%8%25%25%20.4%18.5%25%25%20.9%18.7%25%25%22.9%19%6.2%25%25%23.7%22.2%Marie BurnsNairn McDonaldAngela StephenSusan JohnsonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BurnsCollinsCraigJacksonJohnsonMcDonaldStephenLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Marie Burns
Nairn McDonald
Angela Stephen
Susan Johnson
Ross Collins
Barry Keith Jackson
Karin Craig
Marie Burns0%54%63.1%76.1%77.1%67.7%81.5%
Nairn McDonald46%0%67.4%50.2%64.1%78.6%85%
Angela Stephen36.9%32.6%0%39%47.7%56.3%69.4%
Susan Johnson23.9%49.8%61%0%70.5%64.9%78.8%
Ross Collins22.9%35.9%52.3%29.5%0%55.4%72.8%
Barry Keith Jackson32.3%21.4%43.7%35.1%44.6%0%70.5%
Karin Craig18.5%15%30.6%21.2%27.2%29.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Marie Burns
Nairn McDonald
Angela Stephen
Susan Johnson
Ross Collins
Barry Keith Jackson
Karin Craig
Exhausted
Marie Burns0%4.9%0.5%78.8%9.1%0.9%1.2%4.6%
Nairn McDonald8.2%0%22.5%6.8%8.4%20.5%6.3%27.3%
Angela Stephen1.5%38.7%0%0.6%3%17.2%7.5%31.3%
Susan Johnson86.1%2.5%0.6%0%5.6%0.6%0.6%4%
Ross Collins42.1%11.1%2.9%9.9%0%12.3%9.9%11.7%
Barry Keith Jackson7.5%33%19.8%3.8%15.1%0%2.8%17.9%
Karin Craig12.5%7.8%31.3%1.6%14.1%10.9%0%21.9%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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