stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Garnock Valley

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 5 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 11 candidates over 8 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,175 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Donald L Reid
  2. Ronnie Stalker
  3. Anthea Dickson
  4. John Bell
  5. Margaret Johnson

Votes needed to win: 1,175 votes 7,0445+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{7,044}{5 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,175Anthea DicksonElected in round 1Donald L ReidElected in round 1Ronnie StalkerElected in round 1John BellElected in round 7Margaret JohnsonElected in round 9Robert BarrEliminated in round 8Ted NevillEliminated in round 6James RobsonEliminated in round 5Catherine WilliamsonEliminated in round 4John WillisEliminated in round 3Carol Ann DobsonEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Donald L ReidRonnie StalkerAnthea DicksonMargaret JohnsonJohn BellRobert BarrTed NevillJames RobsonCatherine WilliamsonCarol Ann DobsonJohn WillisExhausted22.9%20.2%19.3%12%11.4%16.7%16.7%16.7%15.8%13.7%9%16.7%16.7%16.7%15.8%13.8%9.2%16.7%16.7%16.7%15.9%13.8%9.3%16.7%16.7%16.7%15.9%14%9.5%16.7%16.7%16.7%16.2%16.2%9.8%6.6%16.7%16.7%16.7%16.4%17.6%11.4%16.7%16.7%16.7%16.5%16.7%11.7%Donald L ReidRonnie StalkerAnthea DicksonMargaret JohnsonJohn BellRobert BarrExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BarrBellDicksonDobsonJohnsonNevillReidRobsonStalkerWilliamsonWillisLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Donald L Reid
Ronnie Stalker
Anthea Dickson
Margaret Johnson
John Bell
Robert Barr
Ted Nevill
James Robson
Catherine Williamson
John Willis
Carol Ann Dobson
Donald L Reid0%58.5%53.4%55.2%64.7%69.8%75.7%73.5%88.2%92.9%93.3%
Ronnie Stalker41.5%0%47.4%48.7%53.4%62.4%73.2%61%79%78%85.3%
Anthea Dickson46.6%52.6%0%62.2%58.7%61%67.4%66.7%83.4%81.7%90.8%
Margaret Johnson44.8%51.3%37.8%0%57%59.2%66.4%65.4%82.5%80.8%89.8%
John Bell35.3%46.6%41.3%43%0%53.1%65.1%76%81.2%76.7%88%
Robert Barr30.2%37.6%39%40.8%46.9%0%62%56.9%77%81.4%87.8%
Ted Nevill24.3%26.8%32.6%33.6%34.9%38%0%43.9%64.1%62.4%74.4%
James Robson26.5%39%33.3%34.6%24%43.1%56.1%0%74.2%69.2%82.4%
Catherine Williamson11.8%21%16.6%17.5%18.8%23%35.9%25.8%0%49.4%68.4%
John Willis7.1%22%18.3%19.2%23.3%18.6%37.6%30.8%50.6%0%73%
Carol Ann Dobson6.7%14.7%9.2%10.2%12%12.2%25.6%17.6%31.6%27%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Donald L Reid
Ronnie Stalker
Anthea Dickson
Margaret Johnson
John Bell
Robert Barr
Ted Nevill
James Robson
Catherine Williamson
John Willis
Carol Ann Dobson
Exhausted
Donald L Reid0%13.3%13.2%7.7%16.4%14.5%7.3%6.4%1.5%4.7%0.9%14.1%
Ronnie Stalker15.1%0%3.7%2.5%4.9%24.8%30.8%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.3%14.6%
Anthea Dickson4.2%1.4%0%84.9%4.1%0.7%0.2%0.7%0.3%0%0.5%3%
Margaret Johnson2.1%1.4%89.1%0%2.3%1.1%0.2%0.8%0%0.1%0.2%2.6%
John Bell14.8%4.1%6.1%2%0%2.6%2.7%57.1%1.6%0.1%0.9%8.1%
Robert Barr21.1%29.9%9.5%4.1%10.3%0%3.9%1%1.3%3.1%2.1%13.7%
Ted Nevill9.2%77.7%0.9%0.6%2.8%2.4%0%0%0.6%0%0.6%5.2%
James Robson15.8%4.2%3.2%4.2%59.5%3.7%1.1%0%1.6%0%0.5%6.3%
Catherine Williamson7.3%14.5%1.8%5.5%20%9.1%9.1%10.9%0%7.3%1.8%12.7%
John Willis58.3%16.7%0%0%0%8.3%0%8.3%0%0%0%8.3%
Carol Ann Dobson25.9%0%0%3.7%7.4%11.1%11.1%0%11.1%0%0%29.6%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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