stv.vote // North Ayrshire, Scotland Ardrossan

The North Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (895 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Tony Gurney
  2. Amanda Kerr
  3. Stewart Ferguson

Votes needed to win: 895 votes 3,5773+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,577}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 895Tony GurneyElected in round 1Amanda KerrElected in round 1Stewart FergusonElected in round 6Jim McHargEliminated in round 5John HunterEliminated in round 4Matthew LynchEliminated in round 3Stephen McQuistinEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Tony GurneyAmanda KerrStewart FergusonJim McHargJohn HunterMatthew LynchStephen McQuistinExhausted30.9%27%20%10.2%9.3%25%25%20%15.9%11.4%25%25%20.3%16.1%12%25%25%20.6%16.3%12.1%25%25%23.5%18.9%7.5%Tony GurneyAmanda KerrStewart FergusonJim McHargExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

FergusonGurneyHunterKerrLynchMcHargMcQuistinLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Tony Gurney
Stewart Ferguson
Amanda Kerr
Jim McHarg
John Hunter
Matthew Lynch
Stephen McQuistin
Tony Gurney0%61.9%51.4%71.4%62%83.1%73.1%
Stewart Ferguson38.1%0%33.8%40.2%45.8%71.2%59.9%
Amanda Kerr48.6%66.2%0%52.3%62.7%87.2%81.9%
Jim McHarg28.6%59.8%47.7%0%58.1%81%71.3%
John Hunter38%54.2%37.3%41.9%0%83.8%67.7%
Matthew Lynch16.9%28.8%12.8%19%16.2%0%31.9%
Stephen McQuistin26.9%40.1%18.1%28.7%32.3%68.1%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Tony Gurney
Stewart Ferguson
Amanda Kerr
Jim McHarg
John Hunter
Matthew Lynch
Stephen McQuistin
Exhausted
Tony Gurney0%1.2%6%82.9%5.3%0.1%0.2%4.3%
Stewart Ferguson2.5%0%30.4%0.4%27.3%4.1%7.3%28%
Amanda Kerr11.5%16.7%0%5.6%18.3%5.1%14.6%28.3%
Jim McHarg87.4%1.1%4.6%0%3.6%1.1%0.3%1.9%
John Hunter16.5%18.6%24%8.4%0%6.9%7.5%18%
Matthew Lynch4.3%17%12.8%8.5%10.6%0%8.5%38.3%
Stephen McQuistin6.8%11.4%31.8%9.1%29.5%0%0%11.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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