stv.vote // Highland, Scotland Badenoch and Strathspey

The Highland, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,106 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Russell Jones
  2. Muriel Cockburn
  3. Bill Lobban
  4. John Bruce

Votes needed to win: 1,106 votes 5,5294+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,529}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,106Russell JonesElected in round 1Muriel CockburnElected in round 4Bill LobbanElected in round 6John BruceElected in round 8Pippa HadleyEliminated in round 7Declan GallacherEliminated in round 5Dave FallowsEliminated in round 3Charlie WhelanEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Russell JonesMuriel CockburnJohn BruceBill LobbanPippa HadleyDeclan GallacherDave FallowsCharlie WhelanExhausted23.2%16%15.6%15.2%10.3%8.8%6.7%20%16.7%16.1%15.9%10.7%9.3%6.9%20%16.9%16.5%16.9%11.4%10.6%7.2%20%22.3%16.6%17.2%11.9%10.9%20%20%16.6%17.8%12.8%11.4%20%20%19.1%20.8%15.4%20%20%19.3%20%16%Russell JonesMuriel CockburnJohn BruceBill LobbanPippa HadleyExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BruceCockburnFallowsGallacherHadleyJonesLobbanWhelanLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Russell Jones
John Bruce
Muriel Cockburn
Bill Lobban
Pippa Hadley
Declan Gallacher
Dave Fallows
Charlie Whelan
Russell Jones0%68.1%60%56.4%61.1%63.3%64.2%75.8%
John Bruce31.9%0%43.5%35.1%42.7%43.9%46.3%54%
Muriel Cockburn40%56.5%0%44.3%53.2%52.3%65.9%63.2%
Bill Lobban43.6%64.9%55.7%0%55.6%60%60.1%72.9%
Pippa Hadley38.9%57.3%46.8%44.4%0%52.2%53.1%64.7%
Declan Gallacher36.7%56.1%47.7%40%47.8%0%51.5%66%
Dave Fallows35.8%53.7%34.1%39.9%46.9%48.5%0%58.9%
Charlie Whelan24.2%46%36.8%27.1%35.3%34%41.1%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Russell Jones
John Bruce
Muriel Cockburn
Bill Lobban
Pippa Hadley
Declan Gallacher
Dave Fallows
Charlie Whelan
Exhausted
Russell Jones0%10.3%8.1%30.5%14.5%8.1%6.2%5.5%16.6%
John Bruce17%0%2%19.6%3%25.8%0.8%8.1%23.7%
Muriel Cockburn5%1%0%4.5%11.9%3.2%69.2%1.8%3.5%
Bill Lobban34.1%11.6%8.9%0%10.3%12.8%5.5%7.5%9.3%
Pippa Hadley19.5%1.9%24.6%16.4%0%11.6%10.4%5.6%9.9%
Declan Gallacher18.4%17%7%13.1%15.7%0%1.4%16%11.5%
Dave Fallows5.7%1.3%74.9%1.9%6.5%3.5%0%1.3%4.9%
Charlie Whelan7.3%7.8%5.2%20.3%11.6%29.3%5.2%0%13.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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