stv.vote // Highland, Scotland Aird and Loch Ness

The Highland, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,040 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Emma Knox
  2. David Fraser
  3. Helen Crawford
  4. Chris Ballance

Votes needed to win: 1,040 votes 5,1984+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,198}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,040Helen CrawfordElected in round 1David FraserElected in round 1Emma KnoxElected in round 1Chris BallanceElected in round 5Aarron Duncan-MacleodEliminated in round 4Holly KinghamEliminated in round 3Michael PereraEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Emma KnoxDavid FraserHelen CrawfordChris BallanceAarron Duncan-MacleodHolly KinghamMichael PereraExhausted26.2%22.7%21.1%10.2%8.3%6.6%20%20%20%13.5%13.1%7.1%6.3%20%20%20%14.8%13.9%10%20%20%20%17.4%17.3%5.3%Emma KnoxDavid FraserHelen CrawfordChris BallanceAarron Duncan-MacleodExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BallanceCrawfordDuncan-MacleodFraserKinghamKnoxPereraLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Emma Knox
David Fraser
Helen Crawford
Chris Ballance
Aarron Duncan-Macleod
Holly Kingham
Michael Perera
Emma Knox0%44.6%56.8%62.6%53.6%59.4%68.4%
David Fraser55.4%0%64.6%59.9%61.2%67.3%74%
Helen Crawford43.2%35.4%0%46.4%44.6%49.6%56%
Chris Ballance37.4%40.1%53.6%0%48.4%54.9%64.5%
Aarron Duncan-Macleod46.4%38.8%55.4%51.6%0%57.8%66.3%
Holly Kingham40.6%32.7%50.4%45.1%42.2%0%62.2%
Michael Perera31.6%26%44%35.5%33.7%37.8%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Emma Knox
David Fraser
Helen Crawford
Chris Ballance
Aarron Duncan-Macleod
Holly Kingham
Michael Perera
Exhausted
Emma Knox0%13.6%2%49.9%8.1%7.6%6.5%12.3%
David Fraser15.3%0%15.7%9.3%35%8%4.1%12.4%
Helen Crawford2.7%22.7%0%2.9%23.7%17.7%6.9%23.4%
Chris Ballance43.9%13.4%2.8%0%10.8%11.7%9.8%7.4%
Aarron Duncan-Macleod13.7%46.3%8.6%7.7%0%8.1%4%11.6%
Holly Kingham9.9%18.4%17%13.2%12.3%0%18.7%10.5%
Michael Perera12.3%9.1%7.5%11.1%6.3%36%0%17.8%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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