stv.vote // Fife, Scotland Dunfermline South

The Fife, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 10 candidates over 9 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,559 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. James Calder
  2. Cara Hilton
  3. Lynn Ballantyne Wardlaw
  4. Naz Anis-Miah

Votes needed to win: 1,559 votes 7,7934+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{7,793}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,559James CalderElected in round 4Cara HiltonElected in round 6Lynn Ballantyne WardlawElected in round 8Naz Anis-MiahElected in round 10David RossEliminated in round 9Martin John WillcocksEliminated in round 7Ross PatersonEliminated in round 5Tom FreemanEliminated in round 3Paul LynchEliminated in round 2Rob ThompsonEliminated in round 1

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9James CalderCara HiltonLynn Ballantyne WardlawNaz Anis-MiahDavid RossMartin John WillcocksRoss PatersonTom FreemanPaul LynchRob ThompsonExhausted19.5%19.3%16.9%16.6%10.6%6.9%19.6%19.4%17.2%16.8%10.6%7.2%19.8%19.4%17.2%16.9%10.9%7.4%20.4%19.9%18.1%17.7%11%7.8%20%20%18.1%17.8%11.2%7.8%20%23%18.3%17.8%11.4%7.9%20%20%18.8%18.1%12.5%8.2%20%20%20%19.7%13.6%6.7%20%20%20%19.7%13.6%6.7%James CalderCara HiltonLynn Ballantyne WardlawNaz Anis-MiahDavid RossExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

Anis-MiahWardlawCalderFreemanHiltonLynchPatersonRossThompsonWillcocksLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Cara Hilton
Naz Anis-Miah
James Calder
Lynn Ballantyne Wardlaw
David Ross
Martin John Willcocks
Ross Paterson
Tom Freeman
Paul Lynch
Rob Thompson
Cara Hilton0%51.9%50.6%50.1%72%75.3%79.2%64.5%88.1%86%
Naz Anis-Miah48.1%0%48.7%48.6%64.5%70.6%55%71.5%84.3%90.3%
James Calder49.4%51.3%0%49.5%73.3%75.4%58.1%65.2%88.4%85.2%
Lynn Ballantyne Wardlaw49.9%51.4%50.5%0%65.9%72.1%57%73.6%85.5%91.2%
David Ross28%35.5%26.7%34.1%0%55.5%34.8%42.8%70.4%68.8%
Martin John Willcocks24.7%29.4%24.6%27.9%44.5%0%31.4%37.7%65.5%65.2%
Ross Paterson20.8%45%41.9%43%65.2%68.6%0%56.3%83.2%82.3%
Tom Freeman35.5%28.5%34.8%26.4%57.2%62.3%43.7%0%80%82.5%
Paul Lynch11.9%15.7%11.6%14.5%29.6%34.5%16.8%20%0%50.1%
Rob Thompson14%9.7%14.8%8.8%31.2%34.8%17.7%17.5%49.9%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Cara Hilton
Naz Anis-Miah
James Calder
Lynn Ballantyne Wardlaw
David Ross
Martin John Willcocks
Ross Paterson
Tom Freeman
Paul Lynch
Rob Thompson
Exhausted
Cara Hilton0%1.9%10%2.8%3.9%2.7%68%2.5%1.1%0.3%6.8%
Naz Anis-Miah3.3%0%1.8%87.8%0.2%1.1%0.3%2.5%0.2%0.9%1.8%
James Calder28.6%3.7%0%5.6%20.3%7.7%4.9%9.6%2.2%0.6%16.9%
Lynn Ballantyne Wardlaw4.6%79.3%3.7%0%0.3%1.3%1.2%4.6%0.5%1.3%3.2%
David Ross17.8%0.6%34.3%1.2%0%5.5%10.2%2.2%5.7%0.4%22.2%
Martin John Willcocks10.4%13.5%21.1%8.7%6.8%0%5.5%12.6%2.4%1.3%17.7%
Ross Paterson70.4%1.3%6.6%2.3%3.9%1.6%0%1.3%2%0.3%10.2%
Tom Freeman12.2%23.3%14.7%21.1%2.2%9.7%3.2%0%2.5%2.9%8.2%
Paul Lynch4.8%3.8%12.4%3.8%19%12.4%9.5%4.8%0%4.8%24.8%
Rob Thompson2.9%15.5%4.9%23.3%1%22.3%3.9%8.7%6.8%0%10.7%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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