stv.vote // Falkirk, Scotland Lower Braes

The Falkirk, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,290 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Anne Hannah
  2. James Kerr
  3. Gordon Forrest

Votes needed to win: 1,290 votes 5,1593+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,159}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,290Anne HannahElected in round 1James KerrElected in round 4Gordon ForrestElected in round 6Adanna Bridget McCueEliminated in final roundDoug SheehanEliminated in round 5Ashley Hunter WardEliminated in round 3Scott FallonEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Anne HannahGordon ForrestJames KerrAdanna Bridget McCueDoug SheehanAshley Hunter WardScott FallonExhausted27%23.4%23.3%16%5.8%25%23.6%24.7%16.1%5.9%25%24.1%24.7%16.3%6.1%25%24.2%26.1%16.5%7.1%25%24.2%25%16.5%7.1%25%25.8%25%19.5%Anne HannahGordon ForrestJames KerrAdanna Bridget McCueExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

FallonForrestHannahKerrMcCueSheehanWardLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Anne Hannah
James Kerr
Gordon Forrest
Adanna Bridget McCue
Doug Sheehan
Ashley Hunter Ward
Scott Fallon
Anne Hannah0%63.9%52.5%54.3%65%76.2%85.4%
James Kerr36.1%0%42.2%43.1%49.1%55.1%71.4%
Gordon Forrest47.5%57.8%0%56.4%68.4%59.8%88.5%
Adanna Bridget McCue45.7%56.9%43.6%0%67.2%58.9%87.9%
Doug Sheehan35%50.9%31.6%32.8%0%53.5%80.9%
Ashley Hunter Ward23.8%44.9%40.2%41.1%46.5%0%76.5%
Scott Fallon14.6%28.6%11.5%12.1%19.1%23.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Anne Hannah
James Kerr
Gordon Forrest
Adanna Bridget McCue
Doug Sheehan
Ashley Hunter Ward
Scott Fallon
Exhausted
Anne Hannah0%20.7%8%5.2%11.4%27.5%2.1%25.2%
James Kerr42.7%0%1.2%1.2%4.1%21.5%1.1%28.2%
Gordon Forrest7.6%1.4%0%77.8%7%0.9%2.1%3.3%
Adanna Bridget McCue5%1.2%79.2%0%8.6%1.2%1.9%2.9%
Doug Sheehan13.4%2.3%15.1%34.9%0%19.5%4.4%10.4%
Ashley Hunter Ward34.1%21%3%1.8%24%0%2.4%13.8%
Scott Fallon14.9%1.5%34.3%16.4%13.4%3%0%16.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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