stv.vote // Falkirk, Scotland Grangemouth

The Falkirk, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,261 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. David Balfour
  2. Alan Nimmo
  3. John Haston

Votes needed to win: 1,261 votes 5,0433+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,043}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,261David BalfourElected in round 1Alan NimmoElected in round 5John HastonElected in round 8 (final)Mandy BrysonEliminated in round 7Robert SpearsEliminated in round 6Marc BozzaEliminated in round 4Rhys StenhouseEliminated in round 3Stuart MartinEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7David BalfourAlan NimmoMandy BrysonRobert SpearsJohn HastonMarc BozzaRhys StenhouseStuart MartinExhausted35.9%23.4%13.6%12.1%9%25%23.9%13.9%12.7%16%25%24%14.1%12.7%16%25%24.5%14.1%13.1%17.7%25%25.3%14.6%14.4%18%25%25%14.7%14.4%18%25%25%18.5%20.9%10.6%David BalfourAlan NimmoMandy BrysonJohn HastonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BalfourBozzaBrysonHastonMartinNimmoSpearsStenhouseLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
David Balfour
Alan Nimmo
John Haston
Mandy Bryson
Robert Spears
Marc Bozza
Rhys Stenhouse
Stuart Martin
David Balfour0%57.1%77.4%70.1%62.6%73.9%84.2%88.9%
Alan Nimmo42.9%0%48.4%69.8%57.3%74.5%73.1%92.4%
John Haston22.6%51.6%0%66%56.4%69.8%80.2%87.2%
Mandy Bryson29.9%30.2%34%0%35.7%52.2%51.7%81.6%
Robert Spears37.4%42.7%43.6%64.3%0%74.9%69%89.3%
Marc Bozza26.1%25.5%30.2%47.8%25.1%0%50.9%82.7%
Rhys Stenhouse15.8%26.9%19.8%48.3%31%49.1%0%76.4%
Stuart Martin11.1%7.6%12.8%18.4%10.7%17.3%23.6%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
David Balfour
Alan Nimmo
John Haston
Mandy Bryson
Robert Spears
Marc Bozza
Rhys Stenhouse
Stuart Martin
Exhausted
David Balfour0%6%76.8%1.7%6.4%1.6%2.8%0.1%4.6%
Alan Nimmo12%0%3.6%14.7%26.4%7.4%6.1%2.3%27.6%
John Haston83%3.5%0%0.9%2.2%1.8%5.1%0.2%3.3%
Mandy Bryson2%33.9%0.9%0%24.5%9.5%1.3%7.2%20.7%
Robert Spears17%23.4%4.3%12.6%0%25.2%4.3%1.1%12.1%
Marc Bozza6.4%17.8%3.8%12.7%33.8%0%5.7%1.9%17.8%
Rhys Stenhouse41%14.8%14.8%0.8%12.3%4.9%0%1.6%9.8%
Stuart Martin11.1%18.5%0%25.9%7.4%14.8%3.7%0%18.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

card