stv.vote // Falkirk, Scotland Carse Kinnaird and Tryst

The Falkirk, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,436 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Gary Bouse
  2. Margaret Anslow
  3. Laura Murtagh
  4. James Flynn

Votes needed to win: 1,436 votes 7,1784+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{7,178}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,436Margaret AnslowElected in round 1Gary BouseElected in round 1Laura MurtaghElected in round 2James FlynnElected in round 6Robert KempEliminated in round 5Tom McLaughlinEliminated in round 4Sean Patrick McCayEliminated in round 3

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Gary BouseMargaret AnslowLaura MurtaghJames FlynnRobert KempTom McLaughlinSean Patrick McCayExhausted27.3%24.5%17.1%15.1%9%20%20%24.5%16.5%9.1%20%20%20%16.8%9.3%8%20%20%20%17.4%9.7%9.4%20%20%20%18.8%10.6%10.6%Gary BouseMargaret AnslowLaura MurtaghJames FlynnRobert KempExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

AnslowBouseFlynnKempMcCayMcLaughlinMurtaghLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
James Flynn
Gary Bouse
Margaret Anslow
Laura Murtagh
Robert Kemp
Tom McLaughlin
Sean Patrick McCay
James Flynn0%37%35.8%38.5%62.6%47.8%54.8%
Gary Bouse63%0%55.1%61.7%63.3%77.8%70.8%
Margaret Anslow64.2%44.9%0%47.2%64.6%63.3%76%
Laura Murtagh61.5%38.3%52.8%0%61.8%75%68.8%
Robert Kemp37.4%36.7%35.4%38.2%0%47.5%54.2%
Tom McLaughlin52.2%22.2%36.7%25%52.5%0%56.2%
Sean Patrick McCay45.2%29.2%24%31.2%45.8%43.8%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
James Flynn
Gary Bouse
Margaret Anslow
Laura Murtagh
Robert Kemp
Tom McLaughlin
Sean Patrick McCay
Exhausted
James Flynn0%1.4%4.7%0.7%87%0.3%1.5%4.3%
Gary Bouse1.1%0%6.9%81.6%0.6%4.7%0.8%4.3%
Margaret Anslow15.5%13.2%0%5.2%6.9%9%21.7%28.5%
Laura Murtagh0.9%86.4%2.8%0%0.4%6.3%0.6%2.6%
Robert Kemp82%1.4%6.3%0.3%0%0.8%2.3%6.8%
Tom McLaughlin0%23.6%13.5%32.7%2.4%0%15.2%12.8%
Sean Patrick McCay7.7%4.3%36.7%3.9%9.7%21.3%0%16.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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