stv.vote // East Lothian, Scotland Haddington and Lammermuir

The East Lothian, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 9 candidates over 7 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,567 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. George McGuire
  2. Shamin Akhtar
  3. John McMillan
  4. Tom Trotter

Votes needed to win: 1,567 votes 7,8304+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{7,830}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,567Shamin AkhtarElected in round 1George McGuireElected in round 1John McMillanElected in round 5Tom TrotterElected in round 8Graeme MacgregorEliminated in round 7Jackie SwailesEliminated in round 6Stuart CrawfordEliminated in round 4David BarrettEliminated in round 3Morgwn DaviesEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7George McGuireShamin AkhtarJohn McMillanTom TrotterGraeme MacgregorJackie SwailesStuart CrawfordDavid BarrettMorgwn DaviesExhausted21.9%20.8%15.7%14.1%12.1%7.4%20%20%17.1%14.3%12.2%7.4%5.8%20%20%17.2%14.5%12.4%7.5%5.9%20%20%17.7%14.6%12.6%7.8%6.9%20%20%20.3%14.8%12.8%9.2%20%20%20%14.9%12.9%9.3%20%20%20%17.9%15.3%6.7%George McGuireShamin AkhtarJohn McMillanTom TrotterGraeme MacgregorExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

AkhtarBarrettCrawfordDaviesMacgregorMcGuireMcMillanSwailesTrotterLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Tom Trotter
George McGuire
Shamin Akhtar
John McMillan
Graeme Macgregor
Jackie Swailes
Stuart Crawford
David Barrett
Morgwn Davies
Tom Trotter0%53.3%39.4%39%54.1%58.3%53.5%73.5%90.3%
George McGuire46.7%0%35.9%36.2%47.7%50.3%52.2%72.4%80.6%
Shamin Akhtar60.6%64.1%0%52.6%61.8%67.2%70.8%84.5%90.8%
John McMillan61%63.8%47.4%0%60.4%66.8%71%84.5%90.8%
Graeme Macgregor45.9%52.3%38.2%39.6%0%58.2%52.1%72.1%90.1%
Jackie Swailes41.7%49.7%32.8%33.2%41.8%0%48.9%71.7%86.9%
Stuart Crawford46.5%47.8%29.2%29%47.9%51.1%0%76.3%85.5%
David Barrett26.5%27.6%15.5%15.5%27.9%28.3%23.7%0%70.2%
Morgwn Davies9.7%19.4%9.2%9.2%9.9%13.1%14.5%29.8%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Tom Trotter
George McGuire
Shamin Akhtar
John McMillan
Graeme Macgregor
Jackie Swailes
Stuart Crawford
David Barrett
Morgwn Davies
Exhausted
Tom Trotter0%1%4%4%78.6%6.2%1%0.7%0.8%3.7%
George McGuire1.3%0%12.5%22.9%1%2.4%23%9.5%0.4%27%
Shamin Akhtar2.5%5.4%0%65.2%6.3%5.7%6.9%2.6%0.3%5.2%
John McMillan7.9%9.5%65.6%0%2.3%3.3%6.3%0.7%0.1%4.3%
Graeme Macgregor68.3%0.6%7.3%5.6%0%10.1%1.8%0.3%2.5%3.4%
Jackie Swailes27.2%1.6%21%9.4%18.4%0%11.3%2.6%0.7%8%
Stuart Crawford2.8%17.4%19.7%19.4%3%15.7%0%9%0.9%12%
David Barrett5.1%12.7%13.6%8.5%5.9%8.5%31.4%0%4.2%10.2%
Morgwn Davies15.3%3.5%8.2%7.1%23.5%8.2%3.5%14.1%0%16.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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