stv.vote // East Ayrshire, Scotland Kilmarnock North

The East Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 6 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (971 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Elaine Cowan
  2. Maureen McKay
  3. David William Richardson

Votes needed to win: 971 votes ⌊3,8823+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,882}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 971Elaine CowanElected in round 1Maureen McKayElected in round 1David William RichardsonElected in round 5Allan MacdonaldEliminated in round 4Ian GrantEliminated in round 3Wendy MacdonaldEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Elaine CowanMaureen McKayAllan MacdonaldDavid William RichardsonIan GrantWendy MacdonaldExhausted38.2%27.9%13.8%9.4%8.1%25%25%14.6%19.8%10.6%25%25%14.8%20.9%11.4%25%25%18.2%22.8%9%Elaine CowanMaureen McKayAllan MacdonaldDavid William RichardsonExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

CowanGrantMacdonaldMacdonaldMcKayRichardsonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Elaine Cowan
Maureen McKay
David William Richardson
Allan Macdonald
Ian Grant
Wendy Macdonald
Elaine Cowan0%55.4%77.9%69.2%70.7%87%
Maureen McKay44.6%0%49.8%73.8%69.2%80.2%
David William Richardson22.1%50.2%0%66.4%65.5%83.7%
Allan Macdonald30.8%26.2%33.6%0%43.7%58.3%
Ian Grant29.3%30.8%34.5%56.3%0%66.5%
Wendy Macdonald13%19.8%16.3%41.7%33.5%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Elaine Cowan
Maureen McKay
David William Richardson
Allan Macdonald
Ian Grant
Wendy Macdonald
Exhausted
Elaine Cowan0%6.1%79.5%0.8%5.1%2.6%5.9%
Maureen McKay13.8%0%5.4%20.6%18.5%5%36.8%
David William Richardson92.3%3.3%0%0.5%0.5%1.9%1.4%
Allan Macdonald2.4%41.6%0.6%0%26.5%1.5%27.4%
Ian Grant16.5%29.7%2.2%27.2%0%6%18.4%
Wendy Macdonald36.4%19.2%10.1%5.1%14.1%0%15.2%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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