stv.vote // East Ayrshire, Scotland Doon Valley

The East Ayrshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 6 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (967 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Drew Filson
  2. Elaine Stewart
  3. Jennifer Hogg

Votes needed to win: 967 votes ⌊3,8663+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,866}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 967Drew FilsonElected in round 1Elaine StewartElected in round 3Jennifer HoggElected in round 6Samantha HaineyEliminated in round 5John BellEliminated in round 4Murray HendrieEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Drew FilsonElaine StewartJennifer HoggSamantha HaineyJohn BellMurray HendrieExhausted27.9%23.1%20.8%16.7%8%25%24.4%21.8%16.9%8.4%25%25.5%22%17.6%9.3%25%25%22%18.1%9.3%25%25%24.7%20.5%Drew FilsonElaine StewartJennifer HoggSamantha HaineyExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BellFilsonHaineyHendrieHoggStewartLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Jennifer Hogg
Drew Filson
Elaine Stewart
Samantha Hainey
John Bell
Murray Hendrie
Jennifer Hogg0%33.9%38.7%54.2%48.7%57.4%
Drew Filson66.1%0%55%70.6%70.7%79.7%
Elaine Stewart61.3%45%0%67.9%65.5%72.5%
Samantha Hainey45.8%29.4%32.1%0%42.9%51.4%
John Bell51.3%29.3%34.5%57.1%0%63.2%
Murray Hendrie42.6%20.3%27.5%48.6%36.8%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Jennifer Hogg
Drew Filson
Elaine Stewart
Samantha Hainey
John Bell
Murray Hendrie
Exhausted
Jennifer Hogg0%20.7%25.5%1.7%11.7%5.5%34.9%
Drew Filson12.8%0%32%7%20.4%8.8%18.9%
Elaine Stewart11.7%31.8%0%9.7%13.8%7.9%25.1%
Samantha Hainey3%15.8%23.3%0%11.3%14.1%32.5%
John Bell16.1%43.4%16.7%5.1%0%8.4%10.3%
Murray Hendrie4.4%34.3%16.1%17.5%15.3%0%12.4%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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