stv.vote // Argyll And Bute, Scotland Oban South and the Isles

The Argyll And Bute, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 11 candidates over 9 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (727 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Jim Lynch
  2. Willie Hume
  3. Amanda Hampsey
  4. Andrew Kain

Votes needed to win: 727 votes 3,6334+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,633}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 727Jim LynchElected in round 1Willie HumeElected in round 8Amanda HampseyElected in round 10 (final)Andrew KainElected in round 10 (final)Phyl Stuart MeyerEliminated in round 9Colin KennedyEliminated in round 7Henry Drummond BoswellEliminated in round 6Donnie CampbellEliminated in round 5Jamie McGrigorEliminated in round 4Gopi AgeerEliminated in round 3John WatsonEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9Jim LynchWillie HumeAmanda HampseyPhyl Stuart MeyerAndrew KainColin KennedyDonnie CampbellHenry Drummond BoswellJamie McGrigorGopi AgeerJohn WatsonExhausted21.3%16.9%12.4%9.7%8.1%7%6.5%20%17%12.4%9.9%8.1%7%6.5%20%17.1%12.7%10.2%8.4%7.4%6.8%20%17.4%13.2%10.8%8.6%7.6%7.1%7%20%17.6%14.4%11%9.7%8.5%7.7%7.7%20%18.7%14.8%12%10.8%10.4%8.3%20%19.2%16.5%13.5%12.1%11.1%7.5%20%20.6%17.8%14.3%14.6%12.7%20%20%17.8%14.6%14.7%12.8%Jim LynchWillie HumeAmanda HampseyPhyl Stuart MeyerAndrew KainExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

AgeerBoswellCampbellHampseyHumeKainKennedyLynchMcGrigorMeyerWatsonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Jim Lynch
Willie Hume
Andrew Kain
Amanda Hampsey
Phyl Stuart Meyer
Colin Kennedy
Henry Drummond Boswell
Donnie Campbell
Jamie McGrigor
Gopi Ageer
John Watson
Jim Lynch0%52.2%63.4%69.7%66.7%67.2%69.8%67.6%67.7%76%72.9%
Willie Hume47.8%0%65.3%68.5%64.8%66.8%68.8%66.9%66%75.2%69.8%
Andrew Kain36.6%34.7%0%60.1%43.1%58.9%55.2%55.9%56.7%62.5%59.9%
Amanda Hampsey30.3%31.5%39.9%0%36%41.6%45.6%41.9%42.7%52.2%46.2%
Phyl Stuart Meyer33.3%35.2%56.9%64%0%59.9%63.3%60.9%59%70.7%65.4%
Colin Kennedy32.8%33.2%41.1%58.4%40.1%0%51.8%51.3%53.5%59.5%55.8%
Henry Drummond Boswell30.2%31.2%44.8%54.4%36.7%48.2%0%48.3%48.4%59.6%51.6%
Donnie Campbell32.4%33.1%44.1%58.1%39.1%48.7%51.7%0%50.5%59.2%53%
Jamie McGrigor32.3%34%43.3%57.3%41%46.5%51.6%49.5%0%59.7%59.2%
Gopi Ageer24%24.8%37.5%47.8%29.3%40.5%40.4%40.8%40.3%0%43.6%
John Watson27.1%30.2%40.1%53.8%34.6%44.2%48.4%47%40.8%56.4%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Jim Lynch
Willie Hume
Andrew Kain
Amanda Hampsey
Phyl Stuart Meyer
Colin Kennedy
Henry Drummond Boswell
Donnie Campbell
Jamie McGrigor
Gopi Ageer
John Watson
Exhausted
Jim Lynch0%65.2%0.6%0.6%10.3%2.2%1.7%1.4%3.2%1.6%4.4%8.7%
Willie Hume69.1%0%12.2%0.2%7.5%2.3%1.1%1.8%0.8%1.5%0.3%3.3%
Andrew Kain2.7%18.3%0%5.1%6.1%20.3%4.4%9.5%9.8%2%7.5%14.2%
Amanda Hampsey0.7%2%10.6%0%1.8%4%22.1%4.9%19.5%7.5%3.1%23.9%
Phyl Stuart Meyer21.5%23.8%9.9%1.1%0%3.1%7.4%11.3%1.1%8.5%4.5%7.6%
Colin Kennedy9.8%7%10.5%5.5%1.2%0%2.7%23.4%18.4%1.6%9%10.9%
Henry Drummond Boswell4.3%4.8%8.5%17.6%16%5.9%0%6.4%8%12.8%3.2%12.8%
Donnie Campbell6.8%10.2%11.1%4.3%11.9%23%4.7%0%3.8%3.8%3.8%16.6%
Jamie McGrigor6.1%2.8%13.4%17.9%3.9%8.4%6.7%8.4%0%3.4%19%10.1%
Gopi Ageer5.3%4.1%5.9%11.2%11.8%3%31.4%4.1%4.1%0%5.9%13%
John Watson13.6%1.7%6.8%5.9%7.6%9.3%7.6%8.5%24.6%5.9%0%8.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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