stv.vote // Argyll And Bute, Scotland Oban North and Lorn

The Argyll And Bute, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 8 candidates over 6 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (820 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Julie McKenzie
  2. Andrew Vennard
  3. Kieron Green
  4. Luna Martin

Votes needed to win: 820 votes 4,0974+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{4,097}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 820Julie McKenzieElected in round 1Andrew VennardElected in round 5Kieron GreenElected in round 7Luna MartinElected in round 7Linda BattisonEliminated in round 6Veronica DavisEliminated in round 4Kyle Campbell-RentonEliminated in round 3Angus FilesEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Julie McKenzieAndrew VennardKieron GreenLinda BattisonLuna MartinVeronica DavisKyle Campbell-RentonAngus FilesExhausted30.6%18.7%15.4%11.4%9.7%6.5%20%18.8%16.7%12.1%13.3%6.8%20%19.1%17.3%13%14.6%7.1%5.8%20%19.3%18.3%14.3%16.7%7.5%20%20.6%19.8%15.7%18.4%5.4%20%20%19.8%15.8%18.4%6%Julie McKenzieAndrew VennardKieron GreenLinda BattisonLuna MartinExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

BattisonCampbell-RentonDavisFilesGreenMartinMcKenzieVennardLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Julie McKenzie
Kieron Green
Luna Martin
Andrew Vennard
Linda Battison
Veronica Davis
Kyle Campbell-Renton
Angus Files
Julie McKenzie0%52.2%61.4%59.6%56.1%61%63.6%80.9%
Kieron Green47.8%0%53.7%62.8%56.7%62.3%65.5%75.2%
Luna Martin38.6%46.3%0%58.4%51.9%57.9%59.1%77%
Andrew Vennard40.4%37.2%41.6%0%41.5%46.8%50.9%61.6%
Linda Battison43.9%43.3%48.1%58.5%0%57.5%62.8%72.6%
Veronica Davis39%37.7%42.1%53.2%42.5%0%53.4%67.9%
Kyle Campbell-Renton36.4%34.5%40.9%49.1%37.2%46.6%0%68.9%
Angus Files19.1%24.8%23%38.4%27.4%32.1%31.1%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Julie McKenzie
Kieron Green
Luna Martin
Andrew Vennard
Linda Battison
Veronica Davis
Kyle Campbell-Renton
Angus Files
Exhausted
Julie McKenzie0%10.8%43%1.3%5.6%5.5%5.8%9.6%18.3%
Kieron Green12.2%0%13%14.2%26.6%11.1%7.1%2.7%13.1%
Luna Martin40.4%13.6%0%2%6.8%13.4%7.8%3.5%12.4%
Andrew Vennard1.3%24.3%2.3%0%14.9%23.9%4.7%1.3%27.4%
Linda Battison7.1%24.2%7.9%13.1%0%12.2%19.5%3.9%12%
Veronica Davis6%18.4%15.7%17.6%16.5%0%6.4%3%16.5%
Kyle Campbell-Renton17.7%15.7%19.2%3.5%19.2%4.5%0%12.1%8.1%
Angus Files25.6%12%11.1%5.1%17.9%6.8%15.4%0%6%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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