stv.vote: Argyll And Bute, Scotland / Argyll And Bute

stv.vote // Argyll And Bute, Scotland Isle of Bute

The Argyll And Bute, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 9 candidates over 8 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (583 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

Reeni Kennedy-Boyle
Liz McCabe
Jean Murray Moffat

Votes needed to win: 583 votes $\left\lfloor \frac{2,331}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1$

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

	Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate		Jean Murray Moffat	Reeni Kennedy-Boyle	Liz McCabe	Peter Wallace	Fraser Gillies	Dawn Malcolm	Ewan Stuart	Robert McGowan	Derek John McFarlane
	Jean Murray Moffat	0%	53.8%	41.8%	62.5%	61.3%	76.4%	76.3%	80.9%	83.9%
	Reeni Kennedy-Boyle	46.2%	0%	42.2%	54.9%	53.8%	74.4%	82.9%	81.9%	79.6%
	Liz McCabe	58.2%	57.8%	0%	65.8%	66.8%	80.2%	77.5%	85%	86.5%
	Peter Wallace	37.5%	45.1%	34.2%	0%	48.6%	63.4%	61.4%	68.5%	72.8%
	Fraser Gillies	38.7%	46.2%	33.2%	51.4%	0%	68.4%	66.4%	75.3%	77.9%
	Dawn Malcolm	23.6%	25.6%	19.8%	36.6%	31.6%	0%	48.6%	59.3%	62.9%
	Ewan Stuart	23.7%	17.1%	22.5%	38.6%	33.6%	51.4%	0%	59.1%	62%
	Robert McGowan	19.1%	18.1%	15%	31.5%	24.7%	40.7%	40.9%	0%	50.5%
	Derek John McFarlane	16.1%	20.4%	13.5%	27.2%	22.1%	37.1%	38%	49.5%	0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

	Second Choice
First Choice		Jean Murray Moffat	Reeni Kennedy-Boyle	Liz McCabe	Peter Wallace	Fraser Gillies	Dawn Malcolm	Ewan Stuart	Robert McGowan	Derek John McFarlane	Exhausted
	Jean Murray Moffat	0%	14.4%	30.6%	16.9%	15.6%	0.3%	4.7%	3.1%	1.6%	12.8%
	Reeni Kennedy-Boyle	13.7%	0%	18.1%	1%	6.1%	6.3%	23.5%	7.8%	1.4%	22.2%
	Liz McCabe	30.4%	11.8%	0%	10.1%	17.4%	4.2%	1.3%	4.9%	1.8%	18.3%
	Peter Wallace	24.6%	1.9%	23.7%	0%	21.5%	4.8%	0.5%	0.7%	7%	15.2%
	Fraser Gillies	19.3%	7.4%	31.2%	13.4%	0%	1.5%	1%	5.4%	3%	17.8%
	Dawn Malcolm	7.9%	10.9%	12.9%	6.9%	13.9%	0%	8.9%	0%	11.9%	26.7%
	Ewan Stuart	10%	41.4%	11.4%	5.7%	4.3%	14.3%	0%	4.3%	7.1%	1.4%
	Robert McGowan	21.8%	29.1%	23.6%	0%	7.3%	3.6%	0%	0%	0%	14.5%
	Derek John McFarlane	20%	4%	12%	16%	12%	20%	4%	0%	0%	12%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.