stv.vote // Argyll And Bute, Scotland Helensburgh Central

The Argyll And Bute, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 4 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (790 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Gary Mulvaney
  2. Ian James Macquire
  3. Fiona Howard
  4. Graham Hardie

Votes needed to win: 790 votes 3,9474+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{3,947}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 790Fiona HowardElected in round 1Ian James MacquireElected in round 1Gary MulvaneyElected in round 1Graham HardieElected in round 5Alison WillmotEliminated in round 4Sarah DaviesEliminated in round 3James Alexander-RobbEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Gary MulvaneyIan James MacquireFiona HowardGraham HardieSarah DaviesAlison WillmotJames Alexander-RobbExhausted30.5%21.4%21.3%11.1%6.8%6.6%20%20%20%13.2%8.3%16%20%20%20%13.9%9%16.3%20%20%20%19.1%16.7%Gary MulvaneyIan James MacquireFiona HowardGraham HardieAlison WillmotExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

Alexander-RobbDaviesHardieHowardMacquireMulvaneyWillmotLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Gary Mulvaney
Graham Hardie
Fiona Howard
Ian James Macquire
Alison Willmot
Sarah Davies
James Alexander-Robb
Gary Mulvaney0%55.4%49.3%60.3%78.7%59.4%78.3%
Graham Hardie44.6%0%42%59.1%50.9%61.8%82.4%
Fiona Howard50.7%58%0%63.6%55.8%66.1%84.4%
Ian James Macquire39.7%40.9%36.4%0%43.3%54.9%67.1%
Alison Willmot21.3%49.1%44.2%56.7%0%55.3%75.1%
Sarah Davies40.6%38.2%33.9%45.1%44.7%0%71.3%
James Alexander-Robb21.7%17.6%15.6%32.9%24.9%28.7%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Gary Mulvaney
Graham Hardie
Fiona Howard
Ian James Macquire
Alison Willmot
Sarah Davies
James Alexander-Robb
Exhausted
Gary Mulvaney0%6.6%5.1%1%80.2%1.1%1.2%4.7%
Graham Hardie21.8%0%34.5%4.3%4.8%17.7%4.8%12%
Fiona Howard15.5%32.3%0%10.7%3.6%12.1%4.5%21.3%
Ian James Macquire2.4%7.2%15.9%0%0.7%50.9%4.6%18.3%
Alison Willmot80.9%3.8%6.1%0.8%0%1.1%1.5%5.7%
Sarah Davies4.1%19%22.4%43.3%1.1%0%1.9%8.2%
James Alexander-Robb15.9%12.5%22.7%15.9%2.3%13.6%0%17%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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