stv.vote // Argyll And Bute, Scotland Dunoon

The Argyll And Bute, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 3 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 7 candidates over 5 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (689 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Audrey E Forrest
  2. Daniel Hampsey
  3. Ross Moreland

Votes needed to win: 689 votes 2,7533+1+1\left\lfloor \frac{2,753}{3 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 689Audrey E ForrestElected in round 1Daniel HampseyElected in round 6 (final)Ross MorelandElected in round 6Gordon Graham McKinvenEliminated in round 5Kaitlin WallaceEliminated in round 4George DarrochEliminated in round 3Susan WatlingEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Audrey E ForrestDaniel HampseyRoss MorelandGordon Graham McKinvenKaitlin WallaceGeorge DarrochSusan WatlingExhausted40.9%17.9%16.9%10.1%6.5%6.1%25%17.9%19%12%9.8%7.2%6.6%25%18.3%19.2%12.4%10%7.8%7.2%25%19.3%20.3%15.7%10.9%8.9%25%19.9%24.4%17.1%13.4%Audrey E ForrestDaniel HampseyRoss MorelandGordon Graham McKinvenExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

DarrochForrestHampseyMcKinvenMorelandWallaceWatlingLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Audrey E Forrest
Ross Moreland
Daniel Hampsey
Gordon Graham McKinven
Kaitlin Wallace
George Darroch
Susan Watling
Audrey E Forrest0%56.7%64%62.7%71.5%67.7%83%
Ross Moreland43.3%0%63.7%58.7%69.3%62.7%83.1%
Daniel Hampsey36%36.3%0%43.8%49.3%46.7%65.7%
Gordon Graham McKinven37.3%41.3%56.2%0%57.2%52.2%77.9%
Kaitlin Wallace28.5%30.7%50.7%42.8%0%45.5%72.6%
George Darroch32.3%37.3%53.3%47.8%54.5%0%75.8%
Susan Watling17%16.9%34.3%22.1%27.4%24.2%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Audrey E Forrest
Ross Moreland
Daniel Hampsey
Gordon Graham McKinven
Kaitlin Wallace
George Darroch
Susan Watling
Exhausted
Audrey E Forrest0%17.3%1.9%10.4%15.5%18.7%4.4%31.7%
Ross Moreland15.3%0%18.3%15.5%16.8%15.5%3%15.5%
Daniel Hampsey1.4%36.3%0%21.3%5.9%8.9%3.9%22.3%
Gordon Graham McKinven11.1%21.1%17.2%0%3.6%22.6%5%19.4%
Kaitlin Wallace19.4%31.7%7.2%10.6%0%6.1%3.3%21.7%
George Darroch25.6%10.1%12.5%30.4%4.2%0%3.6%13.7%
Susan Watling14%9.3%20.9%16.3%4.7%18.6%0%16.3%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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