stv.vote // Aberdeenshire, Scotland Mearns

The Aberdeenshire, Scotland May 2022 was held on May 5, 2022. 4 seats were filled using Single Transferable Vote from 11 candidates over 8 rounds.

In STV, candidates who reach the quota (1,157 votes) are elected. Surplus votes above the quota are transferred to voters' next preferences. When no candidate reaches the quota, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their votes are transferred.

Elected candidates:

  1. Kevin Stelfox
  2. George Carr
  3. Laurie Carnie
  4. Alison Elizabeth McBean Evison

Votes needed to win: 1,157 votes ⌊5,7824+1⌋+1\left\lfloor \frac{5,782}{4 + 1} \right\rfloor + 1

Votes needed to win: 1,157George CarrElected in round 1Kevin StelfoxElected in round 1Laurie CarnieElected in round 9 (final)Alison Elizabeth McBean EvisonElected in round 9Dave StewartEliminated in round 8Yvonne AllanEliminated in round 7Douglas FraserEliminated in round 6Shona EwenEliminated in round 5Leigh WilsonEliminated in round 4David Allen NeillEliminated in round 3Diane Elizabeth LaurensonEliminated in round 2

STV Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was elected (surplus transfers) or eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Kevin StelfoxGeorge CarrAlison Elizabeth McBean EvisonLaurie CarnieDave StewartShona EwenYvonne AllanDouglas FraserLeigh WilsonDavid Allen NeillDiane Elizabeth LaurensonExhausted29%21%10.8%10.7%8.9%6.5%20%20%11.2%11.7%9.6%7.3%7.4%6.6%20%20%11.3%11.9%9.8%7.4%7.4%6.7%20%20%11.8%12.1%10%7.4%7.5%7%20%20%12.5%12.2%10.3%7.6%7.7%7.7%20%20%14%13.2%11.4%9.5%8.8%20%20%16%13.4%12.4%11.7%20%20%18.6%14.6%13.9%13%Kevin StelfoxGeorge CarrAlison Elizabeth McBean EvisonLaurie CarnieDave StewartExhausted

Candidate Clustering

This visualization shows candidates positioned based on second-choice transfers. Candidates whose voters frequently rank each other appear closer together, forming natural "clusters" or voting blocs.

Distance is based on the First Alternate table below — if voters who rank candidate A first often rank candidate B second (and vice versa), they'll appear close together. In STV, proportional representation means winners should be distributed across different clusters, representing diverse voter preferences.

Circle size indicates first-round vote share. Green circles are elected candidates. Hover over candidates to see their top second-choice transfers.

AllanCarnieCarrEvisonEwenFraserLaurensonNeillStelfoxStewartWilsonLegendElectedNot elected

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Note: In multi-seat STV elections, pairwise preferences show overall voter sentiment but don't directly determine outcomes, since votes transfer through multiple elimination and surplus rounds.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Kevin Stelfox
Alison Elizabeth McBean Evison
George Carr
Laurie Carnie
Dave Stewart
Yvonne Allan
Douglas Fraser
Shona Ewen
Leigh Wilson
David Allen Neill
Diane Elizabeth Laurenson
Kevin Stelfox0%56.2%50%54.4%62.7%68%76.6%60.9%87.6%71.2%87.7%
Alison Elizabeth McBean Evison43.8%0%43.6%49.4%58.4%60.2%57.8%55.6%75.7%73.4%89%
George Carr50%56.4%0%62.9%61.9%63.9%60.4%60.9%75.4%70.2%85.9%
Laurie Carnie45.6%50.6%37.1%0%55.3%59.2%55.4%54.6%71.1%64.8%83.2%
Dave Stewart37.3%41.6%38.1%44.7%0%52.8%49.1%46.5%70.4%62.5%83.5%
Yvonne Allan32%39.8%36.1%40.8%47.2%0%47.3%43.3%67.4%57.1%81.8%
Douglas Fraser23.4%42.2%39.6%44.6%50.9%52.7%0%46.3%71.7%60.2%82.9%
Shona Ewen39.1%44.4%39.1%45.4%53.5%56.7%53.7%0%71.9%64.1%85.7%
Leigh Wilson12.4%24.3%24.6%28.9%29.6%32.6%28.3%28.1%0%38.9%65.7%
David Allen Neill28.8%26.6%29.8%35.2%37.5%42.9%39.8%35.9%61.1%0%79.8%
Diane Elizabeth Laurenson12.3%11%14.1%16.8%16.5%18.2%17.1%14.3%34.3%20.2%0%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Kevin Stelfox
Alison Elizabeth McBean Evison
George Carr
Laurie Carnie
Dave Stewart
Yvonne Allan
Douglas Fraser
Shona Ewen
Leigh Wilson
David Allen Neill
Diane Elizabeth Laurenson
Exhausted
Kevin Stelfox0%7.3%2.3%0.5%6.2%10.6%34.5%6.7%13.6%2%0.7%15.4%
Alison Elizabeth McBean Evison11.9%0%12.8%4.2%10.1%8.3%8.8%13.5%2.6%13.3%1.9%12.5%
George Carr1.6%7.7%0%71.8%5.8%1.6%0.7%3.4%0.4%1.2%0.3%5.6%
Laurie Carnie0.6%2.6%85.5%0%1%2.1%0.3%1.8%0.3%0.8%0.2%4.8%
Dave Stewart11.1%17.9%17.5%6%0%4.5%1.4%8.4%2.9%14%1.4%14.8%
Yvonne Allan13.4%12.2%6%5.1%5.7%0%7.7%30.7%2.7%1.5%1.5%13.7%
Douglas Fraser49%8.2%2.1%1%2.1%10.8%0%14.4%1.5%3.6%2.1%5.2%
Shona Ewen8.2%16.4%13%7.4%10.9%18.3%10.9%0%1.3%2.9%1.9%8.8%
Leigh Wilson29.3%14.1%5.1%2%8.1%2%5.1%2%0%11.1%1%20.2%
David Allen Neill8%25.3%5.3%9.3%14.7%1.3%17.3%5.3%6.7%0%0%6.7%
Diane Elizabeth Laurenson3.8%11.5%26.9%5.8%13.5%3.8%5.8%3.8%11.5%1.9%0%11.5%

This report was generated by stv.vote and may be reproduced under CC-BY. Learn more about stv.vote.

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